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by The Mortgage Update with Dan Frio Podcast
The Rate Update with Dan Frio explains mortgage rates, housing market news, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy in plain English. Hosted by nationally recognized mortgage advisor Dan Frio, this podcast breaks down the market forces that move mortgage rates — including the 10-Year Treasury, mortgage-backed securities, CPI inflation, jobs reports, Fed decisions, housing inventory, and economic headlines. Each episode helps homebuyers, homeowners, Realtors, investors, and loan officers understand where mortgage rates may be heading and what it means for buying, refinancing, or investing in real estate. No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical mortgage insight.
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Mortgage rates are on the move after 3 Federal Reserve officials voted to hike rates this week, the largest dissent within the Fed since 1970. If you're a homebuyer, homeowner, or realtor trying to figure out where mortgage rates are headed next, this is the update you need to watch.In this episode, I break down exactly why mortgage rates jumped to 6.77% today, why the Federal Reserve is split on hiking rates even as inflation cools, and why oil prices tied to the Iranian conflict are quietly driving Treasury yields and mortgage rates higher. I also walk through this week's economic data, next week's calendar, and what I'm personally advising my clients to do right now if they're under contract or thinking about locking in a rate.Here's what I cover: 🏠 Why mortgage rates hit 6.77% today 📊 The Fed's rare 3-vote dissent and what it signals 📉 How oil prices and the Iranian conflict are pushing yields higher 📈 This week's PCE inflation, GDP, and jobless claims data 🧮 Next week's full economic calendar (ISM, ADP payrolls, jobs report) 🔁 My advice for homebuyers and realtors on locking in a rate right nowRead the full breakdown on my blog: 3 Fed Officials Want a Rate Hike: What It Means for Your Mortgage Rate https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/3-fed-officials-want-rate-hikes-what-it-means-for-your-mortgage-rateChapters: 0:00 Fed's Rare 3-Vote Dissent Explained 1:30 Today's Mortgage Rate Chart Breakdown 3:00 Why Oil and the Iranian Conflict Are Driving Rates 6:00 This Week's Data Recap and Next Week's Calendar 9:30 My Advice for Homebuyers and Realtors + Fed Forecast🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approved https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultation https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Dan https://www.therateupdate.com/contactWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.My goal is simple: No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical next steps.Here, we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL🏠 Mortgage rate updates 📉 Housing market news 📊 Inflation and Federal Reserve analysis 📈 10-Year Treasury and bond market movement 💰 Refinance opportunities 🏡 Homebuyer education 🔁 RateWatch and mortgage monitoring tools 🧮 Mortgage calculators and payment tools 🎥 Live market updates and housing commentaryWhether you are buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing loan options, or just trying to understand why rates are moving, this channel is built to help you make better decisions.TOP RESOURCES📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically https://rw2.therateupdate.com/🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools https://stan.store/TRU-FoundationsFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateDISCLAIMERI am Dan Frio, a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico. NMLS #246527 | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, TRU Mortgage Team, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortgage rates, terms, approvals, and programs are subject to borrower qualifications, market conditions, underwriting approval, an
Mortgage rates, Federal Reserve, inflation, PCE report, oil prices, Iran conflict, Dow Jones, mortgage rate forecast — here's what moved rates today and what the Fed does next.The Fed just came out and the mortgage bond market took a wild ride because of it. Inflation on the PCE report came in better than expected at 3.3%, jobless claims stayed low, and the Dow is nearing 52,000... but the Fed is still showing a 60% chance of a rate hike at the next meeting. On top of that, the oil war overseas is still raging and could send rates jumping if it escalates. In this video I break down exactly what's driving mortgage rates right now and what I'm telling my own clients to do about it. How to read the mortgage rate chart and what moved rates after the Fed's comments The PCE inflation report and why 3.3% matters Jobless claims, continued claims, and what they signal about the job market Oil prices, the Iran conflict, and how a jump to $120 a barrel could affect your rate Why the Dow is near 52,000 despite the ongoing conflict The Fed's 60% odds of a hike at the next meeting, and what I'm advising clients with a signed contract right now I go deeper on this in my blog post, Is the Fed About to Trigger a Mortgage Rate Shock?: https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/is-the-fed-about-to-trigger-a-mortgage-rate-shockChapters:0:00 Intro – Inflation, Oil War & What the Fed Does Next 1:30 The Rate Chart – What Happened After the Fed's Comments 3:15 PCE Inflation Breakdown (3.3% Reading) 5:15 Jobs Data, Oil Prices & the Iran Conflict Risk 7:30 Dow Nears 52,000, Fed's 60% Hike Odds & Locking Your Rate🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approved https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultation https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Dan https://www.therateupdate.com/contactWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.My goal is simple: No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical next steps.Here, we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL🏠 Mortgage rate updates 📉 Housing market news 📊 Inflation and Federal Reserve analysis 📈 10-Year Treasury and bond market movement 💰 Refinance opportunities 🏡 Homebuyer education 🔁 RateWatch and mortgage monitoring tools 🧮 Mortgage calculators and payment tools 🎥 Live market updates and housing commentaryWhether you are buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing loan options, or just trying to understand why rates are moving, this channel is built to help you make better decisions.TOP RESOURCES📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically https://rw2.therateupdate.com/🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools https://stan.store/TRU-FoundationsFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateDISCLAIMERI am a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico. NMLS #246527 | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, TRU Mortgage Team, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortgage rates, terms, approvals, and programs are subject
Mortgage rates are on edge today as oil prices spike and the Federal Reserve meets to decide what happens next with interest rates. I'm breaking down what's driving today's move and what it means for your rate.Today isn't a normal day. Iran struck another ship, oil jumped 6%, and the Federal Reserve is meeting this afternoon to figure out where the federal funds rate goes from here. I walk through the bond market, the inflation data, the jobs numbers, and exactly what I'm telling my own clients to do right now if they're under contract, sitting on the sidelines, or thinking about refinancing.In this video I cover: • Why oil prices jumping 6% in one day is hitting the mortgage bond market • What the Federal Reserve actually controls and how it ripples into your rate • The real CPI, PPI, and jobs numbers the Fed is watching this week • Why inflation is dropping when you strip out oil and energy • What I'm advising clients to do today: lock, wait, or holdRead the full breakdown on my blog: Fed Rate Call During a Global Crisis: Mortgage Rate Snapshot Today — https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/fed-rate-call-global-crisis-mortgage-rate-snapshot-todayAnd for more on where rates could head next: CPI Drops, Jobs Cool: Is a Fed Rate Cut Finally Coming? — https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/cpi-drops-jobs-cool-is-a-fed-rate-cut-finally-comingCHAPTERS 0:00 Oil spikes, Iran conflict, and today's Fed meeting 1:30 How the Federal Reserve actually controls rates 3:15 CPI, PPI, and the inflation data the Fed is watching 5:45 Jobs numbers and where the cracks are showing 7:30 What I'm telling my clients to do right now🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approved https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultation https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Dan https://www.therateupdate.com/contactWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.My goal is simple: No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical next steps.Here, we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL🏠 Mortgage rate updates 📉 Housing market news 📊 Inflation and Federal Reserve analysis 📈 10-Year Treasury and bond market movement 💰 Refinance opportunities 🏡 Homebuyer education 🔁 RateWatch and mortgage monitoring tools 🧮 Mortgage calculators and payment tools 🎥 Live market updates and housing commentaryWhether you are buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing loan options, or just trying to understand why rates are moving, this channel is built to help you make better decisions.TOP RESOURCES📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically https://rw2.therateupdate.com/🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools https://stan.store/TRU-FoundationsFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateDISCLAIMERI am a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico. NMLS #246527 | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, TRU Mortgage Team, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortg
Mortgage rates are holding steady heading into tomorrow's Federal Reserve meeting, but oil sitting at $80 a barrel could change everything fast. Today I break down the jobs report, cooling inflation data, and why home prices are up 1.6% year over year despite the crash predictions.There's a 70% chance the Fed does nothing at tomorrow's meeting, but that's not the full story. Between a softening ADP jobs report, inflation numbers coming in cooler than expected, and oil prices tied directly to the ongoing conflict overseas, there's a lot moving underneath the surface that could shift your rate in either direction. Here's exactly what I'm watching and what I'm telling my own clients to do right now.📊 What we're tracking today: Federal Reserve meets tomorrow, federal funds rate currently at 3.75% 70% chance of no rate change at this meeting, with hikes possibly on the table by end of year ADP jobs report shows job creation slowing to roughly 60,000 a month, below the 100,000 needed to stay neutral Core CPI and PPI inflation both came in cooler than expected two weeks ago Oil prices sitting at $80 a barrel, up from $60 before the war started, directly pressuring inflation and rates Home prices up 1.6% year over year (Case-Shiller), beating the 1.2% forecast Mortgage rates up 14 ticks recently and holding steady for now Read the full rate breakdown on my blog: https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/mortgage-rates-flat-at-680-ahead-of-critical-fed-vote⏱️ Chapters (estimated, please verify against footage): 0:00 – Intro: What's Coming Tomorrow From the Fed 1:35 – Today's Jobs Report and Inflation Check 3:20 – Oil at $80 a Barrel and Why the Fed Is Watching 5:15 – Home Prices Up 1.6%? The Crash Crowd Reacts 7:10 – Fed Meeting Tomorrow and What I'm Telling My Clients🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approved https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultation https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Dan https://www.therateupdate.com/contactTOP RESOURCES📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically https://rw2.therateupdate.com/🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools https://stan.store/TRU-FoundationsFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateDISCLAIMERI am a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico. NMLS #246527 | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, TRU Mortgage Team, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortgage rates, terms, approvals, and programs are subject to borrower qualifications, market conditions, underwriting approval, and change without notice. Not all borrowers will qualify.#MortgageRates #FederalReserve #HousingMarket
Mortgage rates today: oil prices drop to $84 a barrel, new tariffs hit the market, and the Federal Reserve meets in 2 days. Here's what it means for your mortgage rate, refinance, and home buying plans.🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approvedhttps://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultationhttps://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Danhttps://www.therateupdate.com/contactCHAPTERS0:00 Fed Meeting in 2 Days: What's at Stake1:45 The Fed's Two Mandates and Why Inflation Is Still the Problem3:30 Oil Prices, New Tariffs, and How the Bond Market Moves Your Rate6:15 What I'm Telling My Clients Right Now8:30 Free Tools and What to Watch Before WednesdayWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.My goal is simple: No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical next steps.Here, we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL🏠 Mortgage rate updates📉 Housing market news📊 Inflation and Federal Reserve analysis📈 10-Year Treasury and bond market movement💰 Refinance opportunities🏡 Homebuyer education🔁 RateWatch and mortgage monitoring tools🧮 Mortgage calculators and payment tools🎥 Live market updates and housing commentaryWhether you are buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing loan options, or just trying to understand why rates are moving, this channel is built to help you make better decisions.📖 READ THIS WEEK'S FULL BREAKDOWNThis Week's Mortgage Rate Outlook: Rates Down, Fed Decision Aheadhttps://www.therateupdate.com/blog/this-weeks-mortgage-rate-outlook-rates-down-fed-decision-aheadTOP RESOURCES📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically — https://rw2.therateupdate.com/🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center — https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer — https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools — https://stan.store/TRU-FoundationsFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrioInstagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdateTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateDISCLAIMERDan Frio is a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico. NMLS #246527 | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, TRU Mortgage Team, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortgage rates, terms, approvals, and programs are subject to borrower qualifications, market conditions, underwriting approval, and change without notice. Not all borrowers will qualify.#MortgageRates #FederalReserve #HousingMarket #Refinance #HomeBuying
I used AI to rank every major housing market analyst since 2022 — who called the housing crash right, who got mortgage rate forecasts wrong, and where real estate is really headed in 2026. See how Logan from HousingWire, Realtor.com, and Zillow scored versus analysts still predicting a crash worse than 2008.Every day someone tells you exactly where mortgage rates and home prices are headed — but almost none of them go back and check if they were right. So I did. I ran the top housing market analysts and real estate YouTubers through AI, backdated the data to 2022, and scored who actually predicted housing correctly versus who's been calling for a housing crash worse than 2008 for four years straight.In this video I break down: The top-ranked housing market analysts since 2022 (HousingWire, Realtor.com, Zillow) The real estate influencers with the worst forecasting track record on mortgage rates and home prices Why "housing crash worse than 2008" predictions have failed for years Where my own mortgage rate and housing forecasts ranked What this means for homebuyers and homeowners deciding whether to buy, sell, or refinance in 2026 🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approved https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultation https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Dan https://www.therateupdate.com/contactWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.My goal is simple: No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical next steps.Here, we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL🏠 Mortgage rate updates 📉 Housing market news 📊 Inflation and Federal Reserve analysis 📈 10-Year Treasury and bond market movement 💰 Refinance opportunities 🏡 Homebuyer education 🔁 RateWatch and mortgage monitoring tools 🧮 Mortgage calculators and payment tools 🎥 Live market updates and housing commentaryWhether you are buying your first home, refinancing your current mortgage, comparing loan options, or just trying to understand why rates are moving, this channel is built to help you make better decisions.TOP RESOURCES📉 Track Mortgage Rates Automatically https://rw2.therateupdate.com/🏠 TRU Mortgage Command Center https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators & Tools https://stan.store/TRU-FoundationsFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateDISCLAIMERDan Frio is a licensed mortgage loan officer in all 50 states and Puerto Rico. NMLS #246527 | TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender.This channel is for education and commentary only. Topics may include mortgage rates, real estate, housing, stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, inflation, the Federal Reserve, and financial markets.All opinions are my own and do not represent PBT Bancorp, TRU Mortgage Team, or any financial institution I may be employed by or affiliated with.Nothing on this channel is an offer to lend, a commitment to lend, financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. Mortgage rates, terms, approvals, and programs are subject to borrower qualifications, market conditions, underwriting approval, and change without notice. Not all borrowers will qualify.
Mortgage rates moved higher today even after jobless claims hit a multi-year low — here's why. In this mortgage rate update, Dan Frio breaks down today's jobs report, the mortgage bond market, oil prices near $95 a barrel, and what it means for the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision. If you're buying a home, refinancing, or just trying to understand why mortgage rates keep moving, this housing market update explains exactly what's happening and what to watch next.📖 Read the full breakdown: https://www.therateupdate.com/blog/mortgage-rates-just-hit-11-month-high-heres-what-happens-next
🏠 Ready to Buy or Refinance? Get Pre-Approvedhttps://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 Want to Talk Through Your Options? Schedule a Consultationhttps://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05✉️ Have Questions? Contact / Ask Danhttps://www.therateupdate.com/contactWelcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.
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The Rate Update with Dan Frio explains mortgage rates, housing market news, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy in plain English. Hosted by nationally recognized mortgage advisor Dan Frio, this podcast breaks down the market forces that move mortgage rates — including the 10-Year Treasury, mortgage-backed securities, CPI inflation, jobs reports, Fed decisions, housing inventory, and economic headlines. Each episode helps homebuyers, homeowners, Realtors, investors, and loan officers understand where mortgage rates may be heading and what it means for buying, refinancing, or investing in real estate. No hype. Just real data, clear explanations, and practical mortgage insight.
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