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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast: Daily Summaries Delivered
by Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff is an economist, financial broker/dealer, author, frequent guest on national news, and host of the Peter Schiff Show Podcast. The podcast focuses on weekly economic data analysis and unbiased coverage of financial news, both in the U.S. and global markets. As entertaining as he is informative, Peter packs decades of brilliant insight into every news item.
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- 3 days ago59 min
The Fed Hiked Rates 0.25%. It Won't Stop What's Coming.
The Fed hiked a quarter point. Peter explains why it will not stop the bond market, the dollar, or what is already coming for housing.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- NetSuite. If your revenues are at least seven figures, get the free business guide, Aligning for the Agentic Era: How AI Is Changing Everyday Work, at https://netsuite.com/GOLD- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.The Fed finally hiked. Peter says the quarter point changes nothing about what is already in motion.The Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75 to 4 percent, a 90 percent probability going in and a unanimous vote coming out. Peter's read is that none of that signals resolve. The Fed did not hike because it wanted to. Months of tough talk had stopped working, the bond market had called the bluff, and the committee was left with a put-up-or-shut-up moment it could not dodge. So it did the smallest thing available, and Kevin Warsh gave the shortest press conference of his tenure on the way out.A quarter point does not touch inflation heading for a four handle, not with oil above 100 dollars and diesel at record highs. The reason the Fed will not do more is not caution, it is capacity. A hike large enough to break inflation would break the economy and the Treasury's ability to fund itself.The market understood immediately. The Dow closed down roughly 600 points after being green before the announcement, and the 10-year Treasury pushed back above 5 percent, which Peter calls a stepping stone to 6. He also covers Trump's demand for sub-1 percent rates, Scott Bessent's testimony, why 8 percent mortgages are coming, and why he expects gold to recover from this selloff quickly.Chapters:00:00 Fed Hikes Under Pressure00:33 Markets Priced In the Move03:46 Fed Cornered by Inflation Talk06:38 Symbolic Hike and Market Fallout10:11 Fiscal Policy and Real Inflation21:31 Bond Yields Surge and Trump Reacts32:28 Import Cold Turkey Fallout33:40 Tariffs And China Surplus35:08 Empty Shelves Economic Crash36:18 Five Thousand Dollar Dividend44:30 Bonds For Bombs And Meme Coins53:32 Crypto Politics Gold Outlook FarewellFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #FedRateHike #Inflation #Gold #BondMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- 1 weeks ago1h 1m
I'm Banned From Fox News for This Forecast... It Just Came True
Fox dropped Peter for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI proved it. Now an 88% rate hike, 19-year-high yields, and $100 oil.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- My Patriot Supply. Check out the Be Ready Bundle at https://preparewithpeter.com and receive over $1,000 in food and preparedness gear FREE.- Upwork. Visit https://upwork.com right now and post your job for free to connect with top talent ready to help your business grow.- Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peterPeter got dropped from Fox News for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI just proved him right.Last December Peter went on Fox News and said prices were still rising and the rate of increase would accelerate. Trump called him a Trump hater; Fox stopped booking him. Today's CPI: up 0.4% for August, 3.4% year over year, core hotter than expected, PPI running 5.4%, oil back over $100. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%. Everything he said would happen has happened, while the president told a Republican convention this week that prices are "rapidly going down."Markets now put 88% odds on a rate hike next week, and Peter says the Fed has backed itself into a corner: Warsh has talked tough for so long that not hiking ends the Fed's credibility. But a symbolic 25 basis points "ain't gonna cut it" when inflation is rising faster than rates. The bond market already knows. The 10-year hit 4.97%, a 19-year high, the 30-year 5.35%, and Peter argues we're only six years into a bear market where 5% is nowhere near the top, with $40 trillion of debt to refinance. He also takes apart Trump's $5,000 "dividend" (a bribe paid from $4 trillion of new debt), calls gold dips a gift, and says Bitcoin's chart projects to zero.Chapters:00:00 Fox News Inflation Call00:34 9/11 Reflections and Liberty05:27 CPI Report and Fed Odds14:16 Symbolic Hike Won’t Work36:49 Metals and Bitcoin Check37:51 Bitcoin Head and Shoulders39:24 Why a Midterm Convention44:55 The 5000 Dividend Claim57:17 Inflation Jobs and Wrap UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- 1 weeks ago58 min
The Bond Market Is About to Break... And Stocks Go With It
Oil near $100, copper at a record, and the Fed still says 2%. Why the bond market breaks before the stock market does.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.- Function Health. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit.- Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.Oil near $100, copper at a record, and 65 straight months above 2%. Peter says the bond market breaks first.Brent touched $99.50 and copper hit an all-time high, and Peter's point is that the Fed's 2% target was already unreachable when oil was falling. Sixty-five months above target, and now the inputs are rising again. PPI Thursday and CPI Friday could both come in hot, and if they do, the damage shows up in bonds before it shows up in stocks. The market is pricing roughly 60% odds of a hike next week. Peter doesn't think the Fed will do it, and thinks 25 basis points wouldn't matter if it did, since the market would immediately start pricing the next one.The rest is the bill coming due elsewhere. China just posted a record trade surplus, with August exports up 25% year over year and exports to the US up 34%, which is what happens when tariffs price Americans out of the best deal rather than moving production home. Peter got the receipt himself: the courier billed him for the tariff, then billed him again to process it. Meanwhile the hyperscalers that used to park cash in Treasuries are borrowing from the same pool the government needs, at a moment when interest costs already run $1.2 trillion a year.Chapters:00:00 Intro00:39 War Shock Fuels Commodities02:15 Copper vs Gold Real Money06:11 Iran War Drags On21:31 Tariffs and Trade War Fallout30:18 Producers vs Consumers31:50 Tariffs Shift Trade35:52 Why Trade Wars Fail43:37 Nickels Beat Treasuries50:59 Fed, Inflation, and Wrap-UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- 2 weeks ago59 min
Bond Yields Just Hit a 2007 High... Every Buyer Became a Seller
Peter Schiff on the fake jobs beat, Trump's trade ultimatum, yields at 2007 highs, a 162% tariff bill, and why the Fed is the last buyer.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.- DripDrop. Stock up now at https://dripdrop.com and use promo code GOLD for 20% off- Ground News. Go to https://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.The government says 162,000 jobs is a boom. Peter Schiff says it's a miss, and the bond market agrees.The August jobs report came in at 162,000 against a 55,000 consensus, and Peter Schiff walks through why the number is worse than it looks. The birth-death model supplied 74,000 of those jobs, 45% of the total, on the assumption that new businesses were hiring. More than a third of the rest were waiters and bartenders. JOLTS and ADP both pointed the other way, last month was revised down, and real wages are falling. Kevin Hassett called it a boom; by most measures the economy is weaker than the day Trump took over.Then Trump raised the stakes. He declared that America deserves the lowest interest rates in the world, then threatened to terminate all trade with any surplus country if the Fed doesn't cut. Peter's answer: the United States has never been a worse credit risk than it is right now. The 10-year hit 4.81% and the 30-year 5.28%, the highest since 2007. Japan has sold its Treasury holdings down from $1.3 trillion to $1.1 trillion, everyone who was buying is now selling, and the Fed will end up the buyer of last resort, which means inflation.Peter also covers the week's real data: the July trade deficit at $88.6 billion, the biggest since March 2025; the $283 part that cost him 162% of the tariff once FedEx added its fee; diesel at a record above $5.80; Lutnick on semiconductors and Bastiat's candlemakers; Waller's rate comments sending gold back above $4,400; and an update on TGold's coming gold debit and credit cards.Chapters:00:00 No Buyers Left00:29 Back In Puerto Rico00:47 Jobs Report Miss05:36 Real Wages Falling06:09 Waiters And Bartenders08:00 JOLTS ADP Contradiction09:10 Birth Death Model10:23 Hassett Boom Claim13:27 Trump Rate Demands15:20 Worst Credit Risk Ever17:24 Trump Trade Ultimatum24:07 Bessent Kudlow Interview27:27 Yields Hit 2007 Highs28:24 Yen And Japan Selling31:14 Oil Diesel Record33:15 Stocks Gold Silver39:16 Trade Deficit Widens42:02 My 162% Tariff Bill45:37 Lutnick Semiconductors48:33 Bastiat Candlemakers51:08 Waller Rate Comments53:39 Gold Pullback Gift54:03 TGold Cards Update1:00:24 Bitcoin And EuroPac1:02:12 Labor Day Sign OffFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- 3 weeks ago56 min
The Bond Buybacks Just Doubled... And Now There's a Military Option
Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%.This episode is sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields.Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline.Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised.Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Firestorm00:37 Boatcast Setup01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored08:10 Forward Guidance Critique11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs12:46 Money Supply Matters13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets18:50 Trump Military Option20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift39:03 Boating Bubble Bust45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk56:30 Boat Ownership Reality57:09 Closing Politics PlugFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#BondMarket #FederalReserveOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- Aug 20, 202645 min
The Treasury Just Admitted It... The Bond Market Is Broken
Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day.This episode is sponsored by Noom. The Noom GLP-1 Program starts at $39 and is delivered to your door in as little as seven days. Go to https://noom.com to learn more.This episode is also sponsored by Ground News. Go to http://groundnews.com/schiff to get 40% off the unlimited access Vantage plan and unlock world-wide perspectives on the stories shaping our world.The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken.On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt. Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid.The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely. Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified.Chapters:00:00 Treasury Panic Move01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs02:58 Debt Explosion Politics07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge24:03 Markets React Unevenly24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps25:08 Fed Inflation Bind26:30 Debt Era Comparison27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade37:50 Buybacks Won't Work42:26 QE Addiction Ahead44:34 Boat Update FarewellFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- Aug 17, 202651 min
The Next Leg Down in Your Standard of Living Just Started
Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. For the first time ever you can try NetSuite Next for free. If your revenues are at least in the seven figures, Go to https://netsuite.com/goldThis episode is also sponsored by Function. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit.Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again.The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion.Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict.Chapters:00:00 Middle Class Squeeze01:01 PPI Breakdown04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge05:23 Stagflation Signals08:28 Bond Market Warning11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy28:52 Inflation Math Reality29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained48:09 Dollar Standard EndingFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#Stagflation #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
- Aug 13, 202652 min
Last Week Was the Warning... What Comes Next Is Bigger
A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act.This episode is sponsored by Odoo. Sign up for free at https://www.odoo.com/r/peterThis episode is also sponsored by Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.This episode is also sponsored by Rockwell Automation. Download their 11th Annual State of Smart Manufacturing Report at https://rok.auto/sosmThe CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history.Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number.Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost.Chapters:00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries32:00 Both Parties Shift Left34:17 Trump Corruption Claims37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold44:13 Iran War Reality CheckFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Blinds.com and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.blinds.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off: https://sleep.me* Check out Factor and use my code gold50off for a great deal: https://www.factor75.com* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/GOLD for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
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About The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff is an economist, financial broker/dealer, author, frequent guest on national news, and host of the Peter Schiff Show Podcast. The podcast focuses on weekly economic data analysis and unbiased coverage of financial news, both in the U.S. and global markets. As entertaining as he is informative, Peter packs decades of brilliant insight into every news item.
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