Mortgage Rates May Stay HIGHER Longer—The Fed’s Dot Plot Changes Everything

Mortgage rates, inflation, and the bond market all moved fast today after the Federal Reserve raised rates a quarter point, its first hike in three years, then handed markets a dot plot that caught everyone off guard. In this episode I break down why rates plunged after the Fed's press conference, what today's jobless claims and building permits numbers tell us, and why oil prices are still the biggest risk for another rate hike.📊 The Fed hiked rates a quarter point, the first increase in three years, and the vote was unanimous 📉 A surprise dot plot signaled another hike is likely, and that's what sent the market lower 📈 Jobless claims came in under 200,000 and continued claims improved too, a strong signal for the economy ⛽ Diesel just hit its highest price ever, and I explain why that's the real threat to your rate 🏦 What I'm watching into the next Fed meeting, and how to think about locking your rate right nowRead the full breakdown on the blog: https://www.therateupdate.com/blog0:00 Today's Chart: How Rates Moved After the Fed 1:45 The Fed's Quarter Point Hike, Explained 3:45 The Dot Plot Surprise That Spooked the Market 5:45 Jobs Data, Oil Prices, and What They Mean for Rates 7:45 My Forecast and What To Do If You're Buying or Refinancing🏠 APPLY NOW — One Application, One Credit Pull, 30+ Lenders Compared https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register📅 REQUEST A FREE CONSULTATION https://go.oncehub.com/solvitmortgagealan🔍 FREE LE REVIEW — Already have a quote? Send me your Loan Estimate and I'll compare it against 30+ lenders https://www.therateupdate.com/loan-estimate-review📉 JOIN RATE WATCH — FREE Rate Monitoring https://rw2.therateupdate.com/Welcome to The Rate Update with Dan Frio.This channel helps homebuyers, homeowners, real estate professionals, and anyone watching the housing market understand what is really happening with mortgage rates, housing, inflation, the bond market, the Federal Reserve, and the economy.Here we break down the stories that impact your mortgage payment, your buying power, your refinance options, and your financial decisions.WHAT YOU'LL FIND ON THIS CHANNEL 🏠 Daily mortgage rate updates 📉 Housing market news and home price trends 📊 Inflation, CPI, and Federal Reserve analysis 📈 10-Year Treasury and mortgage bond movement 💰 Refinance and debt consolidation opportunities 🏡 First-time homebuyer education 🔁 Rate Watch mortgage monitoring tools 🧮 Mortgage calculators and payment toolsWHERE TO START🏡 Buying a home — FHA, VA, USDA, conventional, jumbo and down payment assistance https://www.therateupdate.com/first-time-home-buyer🔁 Refinancing or accessing equity — cash-out, FHA Streamline, VA IRRRL, HELOC and reverse https://www.therateupdate.com/homeowner-options🏢 Buying rentals — DSCR on 1 to 8 units, bank statement and no-income options https://www.therateupdate.com/investment-property-loans🎁 Down payment assistance — 3.5% to 5%, including grants you never repay https://www.therateupdate.com/down-payment-assistanceTOP RESOURCES📊 TRU Mortgage Command Center — Live Rate Dashboard https://command.therateupdate.com/💳 TRU Debt Optimizer https://debtrelief.therateupdate.com/🧮 Mortgage Calculators &amp; Tools https://www.therateupdate.com/mortgage-calculators✉️ Ask Dan a Question https://www.therateupdate.com/contactFOLLOW THE RATE UPDATEYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio Instagram: https://instagram.com/therateupdate TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@therateupdateIf this helped you understand mortgage rates a little better, subscribe and turn on notifications so you catch the next update.DISCLAIMERDan Frio | NMLS #246527 | PBT Bancorp | NMLS #257781 | Equal Housing Lender 524 Main St, Hazard, KY 41701 NMLS Consumer Access: <a hr