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by RiskReversal Media
Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech. We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions. Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets. The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Latest Episodes
The most recent episodes — sign up to get AI-powered summaries of each one.
- 2 days ago53 min
Dan Niles: This Isn't the Top, It's a Speed Bump
Dan Nathan hosts Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management on the Risk Reversal podcast to discuss a rallying market amid a 5% 10-year yield, rising global rates, and negative September seasonality ahead of the midterms. Niles argues AI-driven data-center spending has powered 2024 returns, but warns of risks from Texas’s data-center moratorium, potential political pushback, comments by Altman, Anthropic’s Dario, and Musk about slowing AI, falling model pricing and profitability concerns, and possible compute-reducing architectural shifts; he cites early signs of spend shifting toward cheaper open-source models. They discuss how hiking cycles, deficits, and weak equity risk premium could pressure valuations and unwind carry trades, and compare today’s AI buildout to the dot-com era, where backlogs and circular financing can reverse quickly. Niles sees AI ultimately consolidating to a few winners, favors Anthropic in enterprise, expects Google to reassert leadership due to data and cloud acceleration, views Meta as a dark-horse beneficiary via consumer distribution, explains Microsoft’s advantage through its OpenAI stake and security-focused Copilot, and outlines a bullish 2025 view on Apple driven by a foldable-phone upgrade cycle despite near-term execution risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 3 days ago36 min
David Rosenberg: "The Fed Just Made a Policy Mistake"
TRY NOW: Rosenberg Research Free Trial Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research to discuss his new global macro multi-asset ETF, ROSY, built from his conviction-based model portfolio and launched with Corton Capital, with plans to list in the U.S. in Q1, and preview his upcoming October book, “Bear In The Bull Ring.” The conversation then turns to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s 25 bp rate hike and hawkish messaging, which Rosenberg argues misreads economic trends and overstates labor-market strength amid slowing wage growth and weak year-over-year momentum in jobs, incomes, and industrial production. He contends inflation is primarily an oil-driven supply shock and that the Fed’s focus on “relative prices” implies tightening that could force deflation elsewhere and trigger recession, prompting him to raise cash and de-risk. Rosenberg also warns of extreme valuations, concentration and correlation risk tied to AI/tech, and credit-market stress including rising private-credit defaults. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 6 days ago34 min
Danny Moses: Debt, Gold & the Fed... What's Really Driving Markets?
Checkout the WAWD Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Watch Danny's Interview with Cameron Dawson: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zh-wizTNeC0 Guy hosts Danny Moses on the RiskReversal Podcast, recorded on September 11, and they discuss Japan as an epicenter for global markets as the Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates, highlighting Japan’s ability to sell over $1.2 trillion in US Treasuries and the implications for US yields amid $40 trillion in debt, a $2 trillion deficit, and heavy near-term refinancing needs. They argue oil is inflationary but not the sole driver, citing AI CapEx, tariffs, and rising business costs, with wage growth lagging inflation and consumer stress showing up in delinquencies and weak performance in stocks like homebuilders and American Express. Moses critiques Treasury Secretary Bessent’s “I am the house” stance and discusses gold’s strength, European gold repatriation, and the idea of marking US gold to market. They also cover bullish energy themes, including refiners and LNG name Golar, and end with updates on Danny's Substack and some NFL bets. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal MediaThe financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 1 weeks ago32 min
Gene Munster: iPhone Duo Could Be Apple's Biggest Hit Since AirPods
Dan Nathan is joined by Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, for a deep dive into Apple's foldable iPhone Duo launch and what it means for AAPL — plus a broader tour through the week's biggest tech and AI stories: Meta's new agentic AI product Muse, Google's Gemini momentum, Tesla's Cyber Cab and what it means for Uber, and the AI safety debate sparked by a departing Anthropic researcher's warning. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 1 weeks ago21 min
Scott Bessent Is The House Now (Or So He Thinks) | MRKT Call
Watch MRKT Call on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/riskreversalmedia SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, September 9th. Articles Mentioned Checkout Rosenberg Research Checkout The Boock Report Bessent Dares Traders to Bet Against Yen: ‘I Am the House Now’ (Bloomberg) States That Gave Data Centers Billions in Tax Breaks Are Now Ripping Up the Deals (WSJ) Google, Blackstone Venture Faces Delays at Data-Center Sites (Bloomberg) Anthropic Researcher Quits Over ‘Out-of-Control’ AI Fears (WSJ) Chewy Stock Tumbles as Sales Guidance Not Enough to Outweigh Mundane Earnings (Barrons) Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure (NYT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 1 weeks ago36 min
The Fed, Oil, and a Trade War With Canada Investors Aren't Pricing In
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild week of macro data and single-stock news heading into the Fed's September meeting. They dig into the surprisingly strong August jobs report and what it means for a Fed already boxed in by political pressure on Kevin Warsh, why the VIX sitting near 14 might be dangerous complacency, and why the bond market's reaction to a potential rate hike could be totally counterintuitive. They also cover the yen intervention, the structural case for energy stocks amid the Iran conflict, and Dan's argument for why the U.S. isn't as "energy independent" as the trade-war rhetoric suggests. Plus: Tesla's Cybercab event falls flat, Apple heads into its biggest product week in years, and Meta's $17 billion settlement gets called out as an embarrassment next to Big Tobacco's 1998 payout. They close with a reminder to check out Dan's conversation with Paul Kedrosky. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 2 weeks ago1h 40m
Paul Kedrosky: Nvidia Is Now the AI Bubble's Single Point of Failure
Go checkout The Dick & Paul Show on YouTube Dan Nathan interviews Paul Kedrosky about the AI-driven surge in non-residential fixed investment and why today’s data-center buildout resembles prior overbuild cycles like railroads and fiber. Kedrosky argues the current moment is unusually risky because it combines technology hype, loose credit, government-policy urgency, and real-estate speculation (including “powered land/shells”), with more hyperscaler data-center spend now externally financed. He discusses Nvidia’s growing role as a potential single point of failure via ecosystem financing, and warns that large language models are rapidly commoditizing as performance converges and token prices deflate, pressuring heavily levered players. Kedrosky expects neoclouds to be squeezed as marginal suppliers, while hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google benefit by hosting many models and providing enterprise distribution. He also rejects “SaaSpocalypse” extinction claims, predicting compression in SaaS pricing rather than collapse. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
- 2 weeks ago50 min
Fixing Wall Street's AI Problem with Phil Rosen, CEO of Astraeus
Dan Nathan interviews Phil Rosen, CEO/CTO and co-founder of Astraeus, an AI infrastructure company for wealth management. Rosen recounts his path from college dropout to fintech builder, including Orchard Platform and Even Financial (later MoneyLion Engine), explaining how API-embedded distribution and machine-learning signals improved lending decisioning while navigating regulatory explainability. He argues many “AI companies” mainly deploy or fine-tune others’ models and that value often lies in data pipelines, governance, and deterministic software around AI. Rosen describes Astreus targeting independent RIAs and private-equity roll-ups (from ~$2B to ~$200B AUM) by unifying siloed legacy data, codifying compliance rules, and deploying “digital workers” with 90-day pilots to show operational ROI and enable scalable, auditable agentic workflows. They prefer model portability (often Gemini; testing Kimi 3) to manage cost and data sovereignty, and Rosen weighs whether LLMs commoditize into cloud-like infrastructure as tooling matures. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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About RiskReversal Pod
Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech. We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions. Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets. The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
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