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UBS On-Air: Market Moves: Daily Summaries Delivered
by Client Strategy Office
UBS On-Air: Market Moves brings you beyond the highs and lows of the ticker, with conversations that can broaden your thinking about market behavior
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The most recent episodes — sign up to get AI-powered summaries of each one.
- Today17 min
Top of the Morning: Muni Market Guide - Leading the pack
We discuss the factors behind YTD muni performance relative to other fixed income sectors, against a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty, rate volatility, and elevated supply. Plus, a look at opportunities within prepaid gas bonds. Featured are Sudip Mukherjee and Barry McAlinden, Senior Fixed Income Strategists Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
- Today2 min
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'How to do a rate hike'
As expected, the Bank of Japan raised rates to 1%, a level last seen in the distance past of 1995. This was a different move from the recent ECB policy error—unlike Europe, Japan began the year with an accommodative monetary stance. The rate increase is part of a process of returning to neutral, and is broadly considered appropriate.
- Yesterday14 min
Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - In the Knick of time
While it was an exciting weekend for sports fans, it was also a notable weekend on the geopolitical front, with the US and Iran having agreed to a deal that will re-open the Strait of Hormuz. We discuss what this means for the markets, along with what investors will watch for during this week’s highly anticipated FOMC meeting. Plus, a review of CIO’s current positioning recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
- Yesterday2 min
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Rise and fall'
The announcement of an Iran-US deal (to be signed on Friday) has supported risk markets and allowed oil prices to fall moderately. The deal comes before strategic petroleum reserves were exhausted, limiting the economic damage from the war. Iran will not toll shipping through Hormuz for 60 days—after that it is not clear, but tolls are not likely to be a major economic cost.
- 2 days ago5 min
Signal over Noise: What government restrictions of frontier models mean for the equity markets
A US policy restricting access to a cutting edge AI model led to a sudden shutdown for all users last week, raising questions about what AI regulation means for markets. This episode explores how concerns around misuse, including jailbreaking and cyberattacks, could impact model development, access, and competition across regions, and what this means for markets in the near term.
- 2 days ago19 min
Top of the Morning: Fixed Income Strategist - The Lending Powering AI Investment
We discuss the factors that have led to a pronounced repricing of US interest rates, an outlook for monetary policy, and CIO’s current fixed income positioning recommendations. Plus, a look at the lending that is powering AI investment, and the implications to credit markets. Featured are Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, and Barry McAlinden, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
- 4 days ago16 min
Washington Weekly Podcast: US-Iran, US trade policy, FISA, & Secure America Act
Shane drops by to update on the latest surrounding a potential deal signing over the weekend to end the US-Iran conflict, along with updates on recent legislative developments spanning the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act and Secure America Act. Plus, a look a renewed efforts from the Trump administration to enact new tariffs. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy
- 4 days ago2 min
UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Carrying on, without keeping calm'
The expected error from the ECB was accompanied by rhetoric citing concerns about oil price pressures broadening throughout the Eurozone economy. There is no evidence of this reported broadening—non-oil prices should be expected to pass on oil-related costs, and only a wage-spiral or profit-led inflation would constitute a broadening of inflation pressures. These are notable by their absence. Nonetheless, the Teutonic cry of “we must have discipline” seems to be echoing throughout the ECB, raising the risk that the error will be compounded with a further rate increase.
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