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by Thomas Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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- 2 days ago1h 21m
Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler on natural atmospheric CO2 rise #417
Willie Soon and Jonathan Cohler argue the rise in atmospheric CO2 is mostly natural, challenging claims it is 100% manmade from hydrocarbon burning. They cite analyses using bomb-produced carbon-14 showing a single-exponential decay and a short CO2 atmospheric residence time (~3.8 years), contrasting with IPCC claims of thousands of years and criticizing undefined terms like “adjustment time.” They say their work falsifies the Suess effect and that delta-13C of atmospheric change stays near -13‰ from 1978–2022 and in proxies over 500 years, inconsistent with a dominant fossil-fuel signature (~-28‰). They discuss ocean/land cycling, solar/energy imbalance hypotheses, and skepticism of ice-core CO2 constancy claims.00:00 Big CO2 Claim Questioned01:30 Decades of Doubt02:16 Researchers Who Challenged It04:13 Natural Rise Hypothesis05:14 Suess Effect Origins07:35 Bomb Pulse Carbon-1412:39 Short Residence Time14:22 Word Games vs Definitions16:44 3.8 Years Explained21:21 Bridge Equation Breakthrough25:34 Peer Pushback and Talks29:43 Physical Tether Theorem34:01 Koutsoyiannis Delta13C Test42:46 Why Delta13C Still Drops44:23 Lineage and Credit45:43 Cycle Time vs IPCC49:14 Debunking Net Sink51:06 Biosphere Expansion Idea51:48 Satellite Imbalance Fraud56:17 Outgassing Explains CO2 Rise01:01:40 Proxy Limits and Ice Cores01:09:26 Future CO2 and Benefits01:13:18 C14 Tracers and Dating01:15:02 Suez Effect Model Critique01:21:15 Wrapping Up and LinksJonathan Cohler – “The IPCC Circle of Lies: Five Papers Falsify the Entire Framework”https://x.com/cohler/status/2081407310493081791Willie Soon – “From Demon to Dinner: The Scientific Case for CO₂ and Fossil Fuels”https://x.com/cohler/status/2081408758308077952Slides:Jonathan Cohler: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410426147938599Willie Soon: https://x.com/cohler/status/2081410908392133048CERES-Science: https://www.ceres-science.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 5 days ago59 min
Steve Milloy #416
Steve Milloy reviews Trump’s fossil-fuel agenda, EPA rollback of the 2009 endangerment finding, and concerns that litigation delays and Justice Department staffing could let a future Democratic administration reverse course. The speaker attacks the National Academy of Sciences as climate activists, cites a climate chapter in a judges’ science manual, notes Elena Kagan said she didn’t read it, and urges cutting NAS funding. They praise Matt Wielicki’s appointment to lead the U.S. Global Change Research Program. They argue wildfire-smoke PM2.5 health scares lacked NYC hospital spikes, criticize linear no-threshold regulation (radiation, PFAS), and discuss Yucca Mountain standards. They describe shareholder activism against corporate ESG (Netflix, Exxon), criticize carbon capture subsidies, and praise young “climate realist” advocates.00:00 Trump EPA Rollbacks01:37 NAS Versus Trump04:16 Defunding NAS Push06:30 Kagan Foreword Controversy08:24 Climate Realist Appointment09:43 Democrats And Green Money11:59 Big Tech Climate Censorship13:21 X Algorithms And Reach16:10 Viral Tweet No Warming18:20 Wildfire Smoke Reality Check22:30 EPA PM2.5 Experiments26:12 LNT Model And Hormesis30:18 Yucca Mountain Absurdity32:37 PFAS And Low Dose Effects33:37 Forever Chemicals Are Inert34:41 Dose Makes the Poison36:34 Parts Per Trillion Panic37:31 Why Fear Spreads38:06 Conservative Shareholder Activism41:07 Exxon and ESG Battles42:23 Carbon Capture Reality Check43:53 Subsidies and Nanny Government45:31 Next Gen Climate Realists47:43 Awards and Staying the Course50:31 NASA Names and Media Retreat56:01 Debate Challenge and Wrap UpSteve on X: https://x.com/JunkScienceWeb: https://junkscience.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 1 weeks ago54 min
Marc Glendening #415
Mark Glendening argues free speech in Britain and the West is under increasing internal attack, citing “non-crime hate incidents,” broad Public Order Act powers, online and even private-message prosecutions, and proposals to criminalize non-affirmation of transgender identity under “conversion therapy” laws. He says enforcement is often aimed at the right and anti-transgender feminists, though he notes prosecutions of some left-wing Palestine Action supporters. Glendening traces today’s speech controls to cultural strategies developed after Marxism waned, highlighting Gramsci, the Frankfurt School (especially Marcuse), and French postmodernists. He urges electoral pressure campaigns, praises Elon Musk and X, and warns that debanking, digital ID, and Soros-backed regulation threaten liberties.00:00 Meet Mark Glendening01:07 Britain’s Free Speech Legacy02:04 Non Crime Hate Incidents04:23 Policing Private Speech06:52 Who Gets Targeted09:29 Conversion Therapy Crackdown16:09 Why the New Left Censors21:21 Three Intellectual Roots28:37 The Sixties Cultural Turn36:12 Words Liberal vs Progressive43:31 Digital ID and Debanking44:46 Fighting Back Politically48:04 Elon Musk and X50:07 US Elections and Internet Speech52:20 Final Thoughts on Libertyhttps://iea.org.uk/tag/marc-glendening/https://iea.org.uk/publications/transgender-ideology-a-new-threat-to-liberal-values/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 1 weeks ago1h 4m
Ron Clutz Part 1: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #414
Ron Clutz summarizes themes from his “Science Matters” blog, framing climate change as three linked claims: humans warm the Earth, the warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues climate sensitivity estimates are declining and models overpredict warming, citing comparisons of model outputs to observations, weak long-term temperature correlation with fossil fuel use, and claims that storms, wildfires, sea level rise, Arctic ice, and drought trends are not worsening as asserted. He criticizes “reductionism” to CO2 and radiative forcing, emphasizing water vapor, convection, and hydrology, plus solar/cloud and ocean-cycle influences (ENSO/PDO/AMO). He also questions adjusted temperature records and UN policy effectiveness.00:00 Meet Ron Clutz01:13 Climate Change Three Claims05:18 Is Warming Dangerous10:17 Can Government Stop It12:23 Reductionism In Climate Science17:32 Greenhouse Physics And Water Vapor23:10 CO2 Sources And Temperature Lag25:26 Complexity And Data Adjustments33:29 Extreme Events And Attribution35:53 Model Failures And Scenarios42:10 Testing Greenhouse Theory51:02 Sunshine Clouds And Solar Cycles55:19 Oceans Drive Climate Cycles01:02:24 Hydrology And Closing Thoughts01:04:17 Wrap Up And Next Sessionhttps://rclutz.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 2 weeks ago1h 8m
David Smith: “Wokicide: A Quality-Control System to Reclaim Education” #413
David Smith explains his book “Wokicide,” arguing that “woke” (critical social justice theory rooted in critical theory and postmodernism) persists in universities and schools because education lacks quality control, not because of politics. He proposes applying ISO 9001 and HACCP-style quality assurance to K–12 and universities: validated curriculum specifications, independent expert panels, hazard analysis, audits (scheduled and targeted), corrective action, and continuous improvement. A central Workplace Improvement Notice (WIN) system would let staff and even parents file tracked complaints with guaranteed responses, replacing DEI/unconscious-bias training with “deprogramming” modules and prioritizing evidence and accountability. Smith says QA would stop unvalidated ideological drift and is affordable by redirecting existing DEI-related spending.00:00 Intro and Two-Part Talk00:58 Why Woke Persists01:30 Education Lacks QA02:10 Validation Over Ideology04:53 Defining Woke Origins06:35 From Civil Rights to Overreach07:43 Flawed Woke Reasoning10:02 How Woke Spreads11:16 Equity Outcomes and Activism13:33 Deconstruction Playbook17:50 Woke Hall of Fame21:39 Perfect Storm in Education25:42 QA Solution Framework27:41 ISO 9001 and HACCP29:42 Authority and Adoption30:55 Four Phases Implementation33:35 Validation and Hazard Analysis34:47 Audits Monitoring Corrective Action37:09 Aggressive Feedback Loops39:05 WIN Notice Explained41:41 Curriculum Content Validation43:12 Audits in K-12 Schools44:53 K-12 QA Wrap Up45:47 Universities as the Source47:29 University Validation Hurdles50:30 University Auditing Red Flags51:58 Objections and Pushback57:12 Failure Modes and Fixes59:39 Cost and Staffing Reality01:02:08 Closing Q&A and Next StepsAmazon Kindle version: Wokicide: Pest Control for Education: https://a.co/d/0d0YeApM========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 2 weeks ago44 min
Gianluca Alimonti: “Three “climate matrix” papers” #412
Gianluca Alimonti discusses three “climate matrix” papers: a 2022 review of extreme weather time series and response indicators that found no clear worsening trends (later retracted, which he argues lacked specific scientific grounds and reflected political pressure); a 2023 analysis of EM-DAT natural-disaster records concluding the post-1970 rise is largely improved reporting, with trends stable since about 2000 and disaster deaths decreasing; and a recent framework proposing 43 IPCC-aligned impact-driver and response indicators to assess “climate crisis,” finding most show no worsening, many improve, and few worsen. He criticizes media/official claims of rapidly rising disasters and emphasizes adaptation and prevention.00:00 Meet Gianluca Alimonti00:02 Climate Matrix Trilogy Overview01:31 Paper One Extreme Events03:11 Hurricanes Rain Tornado Data05:31 Retraction Controversy09:50 Paper Two Disaster Claims12:36 EM-DAT Reporting Bias17:27 Stable Trends Since 200021:42 Paper Three Defining Crisis23:12 Media Term And Search Trends27:05 Building A Crisis Framework28:20 Drivers Floods Cyclones Fires31:53 Response Indicators Scorecard35:59 Adaptation Beats Mitigation37:49 Conclusions Media Distortion39:38 Q&A Retraction And Outreach41:40 Where To Find Work44:05 Closing Thanks And FarewellHome page: https://www0.mi.infn.it/~alimonti/homepage/indexEn.htmPielke Jr on “The Alimonti Addendum”: https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-alimonti-addendum=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 3 weeks ago1h 27m
Nicola Scafetta: “The Frontier of Climate Science” | Tom Nelson Pod #411
Nicola Scafetta discusses his book, "The Frontier of Climate Science," a review based on about 650 peer‑reviewed papers arguing that IPCC global climate models have serious limitations because they fail to capture multi‑scale natural variability (oceanic, solar, astronomical, and tidal cycles). He says model claims that nearly all warming since 1850 is anthropogenic are not experimentally validated, climate sensitivity remains highly uncertain, and many models run too hot, with possible surface-record warm bias from urban heat islands. He cites past warm periods and correlations between climate and solar/cosmic-ray proxies, proposes empirical/semi‑empirical cycle-based modeling, and concludes warming risk is moderate, SSP2 could meet Paris targets, net zero is unnecessary, and adaptation should be prioritized.00:00 Introducing Scafetta’s New Book06:03 Earth’s Deep-Time Climate Swings11:06 IPCC Attribution to Humans14:44 Why Model Proof Falls Short17:27 Paris Targets and Net Zero Logic24:33 Are IPCC Scenarios Realistic29:04 Model Uncertainty and Sensitivity34:57 Satellites vs Surface Warming38:42 Missing Past Warm Periods43:21 Millennial Solar Climate Cycles46:00 Forests Beneath Glaciers46:59 Solar Records vs Climate49:18 TSI Reconstructions Debate52:09 Cosmic Rays and Clouds56:07 Empirical Models Challenge IPCC59:18 Policy Implications and Adaptation01:01:12 Planetary Cycles Climate Theory01:05:37 Matching Climate Spectral Cycles01:12:51 Future Hiatus and Sensitivity01:19:43 Next Glaciation Long View01:24:01 Book Wrap Up and ThanksThe Frontier of Climate Science: Solar variability, natural cycles and model uncertainty: https://a.co/d/0flzOYJ3=========Brochure for Nicola’s “The Frontier of Climate Science” book, along with slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
- 3 weeks ago47 min
Anika Sweetland: “IPCC EXPOSED!!! Response to a global problem? Or formation of 1 world gov’t?” #410
Anika Sweetland argues the IPCC was created through politics, funding, and elite influence, tracing its origins to the 1985 Villach Conference and alleging it advances centralized global governance. She says media-driven fear shifted from 1970s “ice age” stories to 1988 “global warming,” citing sea-level warnings that did not occur. Sweetland claims climate finance and clean-energy investment incentives benefit IPCC-linked officials. She highlights Climategate emails as evidence of strategic data presentation (“hide the decline”), message management, and peer-review gatekeeping (“PAL review”), plus an alleged journal blacklist. She says her climate studies education omitted Climategate, emphasized policy “solutions,” and discouraged debate.00:00 IPCC Exposed Intro01:01 Ice Age Media Panic02:06 Fear as Control Tool03:36 Global Warming Rebrand05:23 Sea Level Scare Claims07:28 Villach Birth of IPCC09:31 Global Governance Agenda10:31 Trillions and Incentives12:20 Climategate Data Tricks18:57 Peer Review Gatekeeping21:44 Blacklists and Ideology23:31 Personal Wake Up Call25:16 Who Controls Science26:34 What We Can Do Next27:23 Host Reacts and Questions27:36 Climategate Not Taught30:10 Policy Impacts UK Europe33:15 Witch Hunts Parallel37:22 Climate Degree Brainwashing40:42 Only Graduate Story43:15 Today’s Model Driven Teaching45:19 Books and IPCC Origins46:17 Closing Thanks and Wraphttps://x.com/anika_climate=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
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About Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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