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The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence: Daily Summaries Delivered
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The Credit Edge reviews the top credit news of the week and looks at the week ahead, with in-depth research of the most important corporate sectors, trends and themes. Analysis of specific corporate bonds and credit default swaps is backed by Bloomberg Intelligence's robust data sets and indexes.
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- 3 days ago46 min
Lumen’s CFO Looks Ahead After ‘Moonshot’ Debt Deal That Worked
Lumen Technologies is reducing leverage and reinventing itself as an AI play after completing one of the biggest-ever out-of-court debt restructurings. “We had to keep as many winners as possible if we were going to be able to pull this off,” Chris Stansbury, the company’s president and chief financial officer, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Reshmi Basu and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Phil Brendel in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “It was a moonshot and it worked,” Stansbury adds. They also discuss capital-expenditure plans, a copper-scrap opportunity worth “hundreds of millions of dollars,” and Lumen’s exposure to the AI backlash. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 1 weeks ago54 min
Hedge Fund Andromeda Warns of ‘Titanic’ Debt Disaster as Yields Soar
High global government yields are a growing threat to corporate debt markets, according to London-based hedge fund Andromeda Capital Management. “You either have to let long-term yields go up — and with that you can cause a credit crunch, especially with all the AI borrowing that’s happened — or you let the currency depreciate,” Alberto Gallo, the firm’s chief investment officer and co-founder, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Stephane Kovatchev in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “We might have already hit some icebergs with government bond yields going so high,” says Gallo, who compares the situation to the Titanic disaster. They also discuss winners and losers from the artificial intelligence boom, private credit contagion and why Japanese inflation matters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 2 weeks ago49 min
Columbia Threadneedle Scans AI Debt Rush for Alpha Opportunity
Columbia Threadneedle is looking to outperform by buying into the flood of debt from companies building artificial intelligence infrastructure. “It’s really the best place to try to find some volatility and some alpha opportunities here, as long as you can remain nimble,” Tom Murphy, the $715 billion manager’s head of investment-grade credit, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s David Havens in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “If we start to see all of this investment turn into cash flow, it could really be tremendous,” he says. They also discuss fundamental and technical credit market indicators, the September issuance rush and relative value in financial sector bonds.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 3 weeks ago53 min
‘Things Are Going to Get Crazier’: AI Debt Deluge Recalls 2007 Risks
Massive borrowing by artificial intelligence companies — some of it to fund their own customers — risks inflating a technology-sector bubble, according to Seaport Research Partners. “Things are going to get crazier,” Jay Goldberg, the firm’s senior analyst for semiconductors and electronics, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Robert Schiffman in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “All this debt is coming on stream, it’s going to amp up things even further — this feels to me like 2007,” Goldberg says. “There are certainly corners of the industry that are prone to blow ups.” They also discuss AI vigilantes, concentration risk and growing anxiety about circular financing.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- Aug 20, 202652 min
BMO Slashes Junk Debt Holdings as Geopolitical, Economic Risks Spread
BMO Asset Management, which oversees almost C$300 billion ($218 billion), has cut its junk-bond holdings and moved into safer parts of credit as geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures mount. “We love the movie — we’re still there — but we’re just getting a seat closer to the exit,” Earl Davis, the firm’s head of fixed income and money markets, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Spencer Cutter in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “You’re not getting paid to hold as much risk here,” he says. They also discuss why the financial and energy sectors look attractive, how to play hyperscaler bond issuance and opportunities in Canada’s nascent high-yield market, including debt from commodity and defense companies. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- Aug 13, 202645 min
LBO Debt Coming Due Is Next Big Test for Credit Markets, Says ICG
Companies need to move fast to refinance leveraged-buyout debt coming due over the next few years, according to ICG. “Folks should start getting ahead of it because the traffic jam may be more the issue than anything,” David Saitowitz, the $126 billion global alternative asset manager’s head of US liquid credit, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike Holland in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “That could be the kind of risk event that may push the market wider for a period of time,” he says, referring to credit spreads. They also discuss the AI funding bubble, collateralized loan obligation performance and fallen-angel risk.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- Aug 6, 202653 min
Investors Keeping Score on 'Bad PIK', Benefit Street Partners' Kumar Says
Investors are increasingly wary of lenders who dish out so-called bad PIK, or payment-in-kind interest, to help struggling portfolio companies avoid default, according to Anant Kumar, global investment strategist at Benefit Street Partners, the private credit arm of $1.7 trillion asset manager Franklin Templeton. “If you’re a manager who wants to mask stress in the portfolio by doing that, you can probably fool some of the people some of the time,” he tells Bloomberg News’ Sinead Cruise and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Tolu Alamutu in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “I do think investors will catch on if you see a widespread use of PIK in the portfolio without any resolution.” Those managers will likely undershoot expectations when their next fundraising rolls around, Kumar says. The trio also discuss the resilience of private credit illiquidity premia, the specter of inflation and how an industry transparency push is forcing firms to address dubious marks faster than ever before.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- Jul 23, 202648 min
Wellington Passes on Data Center Debt, Questioning Long-Term Value
Data-center debt returns are falling, risk is rising and there’s uncertainty over what the properties may be worth in the long run, Wellington Management says. “We think a lot about that replacement value when evaluating data centers,” Sonali Wilson, the $1.3 trillion manager’s lead investment director for private credit, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s David Havens in the latest Credit Edge podcast. “Today, I’ll say — not every situation — but, by and large, it’s a pass,” she says. They also discuss commercial real estate investment strategies, how to position for AI disruption and why Wellington is building out a private-debt platform now.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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About The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence
The Credit Edge reviews the top credit news of the week and looks at the week ahead, with in-depth research of the most important corporate sectors, trends and themes. Analysis of specific corporate bonds and credit default swaps is backed by Bloomberg Intelligence's robust data sets and indexes.
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