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PPI hit 6%, yields hit 19-year highs, and gold dropped 4%. Traders are selling on the most bullish data gold has ever seen. Gold fell 4% and silver dropped 10.5% on the week despite the most bullish inflation data in years. Peter Schiff explains why traders have it exactly backwards: April PPI surged 1.4% month-over-month — nearly the entire 2% annual target in a single month — pushing producer prices to 6% year-over-year. Core PPI tripled expectations at 1.0%, annualizing to 12.5%. Import prices jumped 1.9% on the month, proving Americans are paying every cent of the tariffs, while export prices exploded 3.3%, signaling internal US inflation pressure across the board. The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.12%, a 19-year high, while the 10-year hit 4.59%. Algorithms are selling gold because they see rising yields as bearish — but Schiff argues they're completely missing that real interest rates are collapsing because inflation is rising faster than nominal rates. The Fed's easing bias in the face of 6% PPI is itself a form of monetary easing. Oil closed at $105 with no end to the Iran war in sight, Bitcoin is down 12.5% year-to-date, and the AI/crypto bubble is one bond market shock away from popping. Schiff's call: back up the truck on gold, silver, and mining stocks while traders are giving them away.
The dollar erased every war gain, oil's back above $102, yields are at 4.5%, and mining stocks just gave you the buying opportunity of the year. Gold settled the week at $4,612 with silver at $75.33, both drifting lower as investor attention shifted to record-high stock indexes. Mining stocks took the hardest hit with GDX down 6.25% — a buying opportunity Peter Schiff says is being created by the same complacency that preceded every major gold breakout. The dollar index fell to 97.7, erasing every penny gained since the Iran war began — a historically weak bounce for a supposed safe haven currency. Oil climbed back above $102 while 30-year Treasury yields touched 4.5%, recreating the exact conditions that forced Trump to reverse Liberation Day tariffs. Schiff revisits Powell's claim of 40 years of controlled inflation, breaking it down decade by decade to show average CPI of 5.5% in the '80s, 3% in the '90s, and 2.6% in the 2000s — with only the post-crisis 2010s near the 2% target. He also highlights the Bitcoin conference where last year's darling Nakamoto is down 99% between conferences, while this year's pitch of "digital credit" is even worse than subprime.
CPI triples to 0.9%, consumer sentiment hits an all-time low, and the Fed is quietly running QE — stagflation isn't coming, it's here. Gold ended the week at $4,745 with silver at $75.76 and mining stocks up 5%, all buoyed by the Taco Tuesday ceasefire that sent markets surging mid-week. Peter Schiff argues the ceasefire is a win for Iran and that Trump was looking for a way out of threats he could never carry out — but the real story is the inflation data. March CPI came in at 0.9% month-over-month, tripling February's reading and pushing year-over-year inflation to 3.3%. The Fed's balance sheet has quietly expanded by nearly $200 billion in 2026 — quantitative easing in everything but name. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.5%, making 2025's full-year growth just 2.1% — lower than any year under Biden. Consumer sentiment plunged to 47.6, the lowest reading in the history of the survey. Schiff connects the dots: M2 money supply growing at 5%, a proposed 50% defense budget increase, and a Fed that will be forced to cut rates regardless of inflation all point to a stagflation environment where gold and silver are headed substantially higher.
Peter Schiff reviews a volatile week in markets, arguing gold and silver likely put in a bottom after briefly breaking prior lows and closing higher. He contrasts that with major stock indexes sliding deeper into correction territory, which he says could turn into a bear market if the war drags on. Schiff focuses on oil as the key driver, tying price spikes to bond selloffs, rising Treasury yields, and renewed inflation pressure. He criticizes shifting public messaging around the conflict and argues the economic and political costs will force an eventual endgame driven more by markets than diplomacy. Schiff also challenges the “Bitcoin as digital gold” narrative, pointing to Bitcoin’s weakness versus gold and warning of a sharper breakdown if key levels fail. He closes by framing larger deficits, money printing, and policy responses as structurally bullish for precious metals, while warning that higher yields and inflation could stress housing, stocks, and the dollar.
Peter Schiff explains why gold’s worst week since 1983 could be the best buying opportunity yet as inflation, war, and housing risks mount. Peter Schiff argues that the sharp collapse in gold and silver is being misread by traders who still believe hotter inflation and tougher Fed talk are bearish for precious metals. He says the real signal is the opposite: producer prices are reaccelerating, oil is surging because of the Iran war, the Fed is trapped, and real interest rates are set to fall as inflation outruns any politically tolerable rate response. He also links the selloff to a broader macro breakdown, including rising Treasury yields, a weakening labor market, an overvalued housing market, looming trouble for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, expanding war deficits, and renewed money printing ahead. Schiff’s view is that the current pullback in gold, silver, and mining stocks is not the end of the bull market, but a rare buying opportunity before stagflation, de-dollarization, and a deeper dollar crisis push precious metals much higher.
Gold falls as war drives oil higher, but Peter Schiff says stagflation, deficits, and a weaker dollar are setting up gold’s next major surge. Peter Schiff explains why the latest pullback in gold, silver, and mining stocks is not a sign that the bull market is over, but a temporary reaction to rising oil prices, higher bond yields, and a stronger dollar. He argues that markets are focusing too narrowly on delayed Fed rate cuts while missing the bigger picture: war-driven deficits, stubborn inflation, a weakening economy, and mounting pressure on the Federal Reserve to eventually monetize even more debt. He also breaks down soft GDP growth, rising PCE inflation, weakness in housing, and what he sees as the widening gap between Trump’s economic claims and the underlying data. Schiff’s core thesis is that stagflation, war spending, and long-term dollar weakness remain strongly bullish for gold and silver, while the current selloff is creating another buying opportunity.
Peter discusses the Iran war, the market reaction in gold and silver, the plunge in mining stocks, the surge in oil, Bitcoin’s dead-cat bounce, weak jobs data, rising inflation risks, the coming recession, de-dollarization, and why he believes this selloff is an opportunity to buy, not a reason to panic.
Gold just hit its highest monthly close ever at $5,278—up 21.5% in just two months—while Bitcoin crashes 27% and the stock market barely moves, proving precious metals are where the real money is flowing as central banks accelerate their de-dollarization strategy.
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The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week's precious metals news with some thoughtful commentary. For more, visit schiffgold.com/news/
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