
Days before Demo Day, a $200 million valuation for an unnamed S26 startup lands in a YC founder group chat and won't stop spreading. On this episode of Year One, Miles and Grant trace how that single number rewrites every other founder's negotiation in the batch, then reveal the company behind it: 9 Mothers, a counter-drone defense startup out of Austin, and the Palmer Luckey and Garry Tan context (via TBPN) that fueled the hype. They dig into Rebel Fund's data showing over a third of the W26 batch scored in YC's top tier, then pressure-test what that grade actually predicts. Michael Seibel's own 2007 Justin.tv numbers get pulled in as a reality check against today's inflated benchmarks. This one's especially useful for founders mid-fundraise who keep comparing their term sheet to someone else's headline, and for anyone trying to separate real signal from Demo Day noise.
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Greypoint: Building Hardware in an AI Batch

Demo Day+72: How S26 Term Sheets Get Priced
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