10-5-26 Q4 Market Outlook: Will Strong Markets Finish Strong?

Can a strong year for stocks carry its momentum through the fourth quarter? History provides an interesting backdrop for the Q4 market outlook. Lance Roberts examines the forces that could shape markets through year-end, including rising earnings estimates, corporate buybacks, investor sentiment, liquidity, interest rates, and the continuing dominance of Technology. We'll also look at the other side of the setup: weak market breadth, elevated Treasury yields, narrow leadership, and the risk that strength in the major indexes may be masking weakness beneath the surface. 0:00 - INTRO 1:00 - Earnings Season Begins 3:20 - Friday Employment Weaker than Expected, as Falling Trend Continues 3:45 - There is deterioration in the Economy 6:59 - Markets Close a Decent Week Higher 7:48 - Volatility Showing No Signs of Concern; Breadth is a Different Story 9:07 - Markets Remain Well Above Moving Averages 12:07 - Preview: Sequence of Returns Risk 13:04 - How much Do You Need to Be Happy (chart) 18:21 - Looking Ahead into Fourth Quarter - Is October Cursed by the Market gods? 22:43 - Looking at the Drivers that Cause Crashes (not apparent now) 23:48 - Q4 Statistics (chart) 26:42 - Market Returns in Mid-term Election Years (Chart) 28:10 - Earnings are a Driver for the Markets (chart) 30:01 - Factors that Affect Markets (chart) 34:11 - Computerized Trading Algorithms (CTA) Performance (chart) 37:30 - The Economy is Running on Business Spending (ISM) (chart) 39:31 - Q3: The Index Isn't the Average Stock (chart) 40:26 - Market Breadth is at Levels Where Normally They Reverse (chart) 42:15 - What to do next: Guidelines to Follow (chart) ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Breadth Sends a Warning," https://youtu.be/gZDLO_jSZrg ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/_eYgx-MHUvI?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "Funeral Planning - Make the Decisions Before Your Family Has To." https://youtube.com/live/oGCV1mUrzwk?feature=share- ------ Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Q4 Market Outlook: Strong Years Usually Finish Strong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/q4-market-outlook-strong-years-usually-finish-strong/ "Price Of Happiness: Missing The Things That Matter" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/price-of-happiness-measuring-the-wrong-things/ "Sequence Of Return Risk: The Math That Breaks Retirements" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sequence-of-return-risk-the-math-that-breaks-retirements/ ------- REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "More Than A Portfolio: Financial Planning PanelL" https://streamyard.com/watch/tCqfFT6bMEBn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #StockMarket #MarketBreadth #EarningsSeason #Investing #Q4MarketOutlook #MarketOutlook