The Bond Market Is About to Break... And Stocks Go With It

Oil near $100, copper at a record, and the Fed still says 2%. Why the bond market breaks before the stock market does.📢 Please Support Our Sponsors:- Proton Pass. Go to https://proton.me/peter to get 50% off, backed by a 30-day money-back guarantee.- Function Health. Join at https://functionhealth.com/peter and use code PETER25 for a $25 credit.- Pebl. Go to https://hipebl.ai to get a free estimate.Oil near $100, copper at a record, and 65 straight months above 2%. Peter says the bond market breaks first.Brent touched $99.50 and copper hit an all-time high, and Peter's point is that the Fed's 2% target was already unreachable when oil was falling. Sixty-five months above target, and now the inputs are rising again. PPI Thursday and CPI Friday could both come in hot, and if they do, the damage shows up in bonds before it shows up in stocks. The market is pricing roughly 60% odds of a hike next week. Peter doesn't think the Fed will do it, and thinks 25 basis points wouldn't matter if it did, since the market would immediately start pricing the next one.The rest is the bill coming due elsewhere. China just posted a record trade surplus, with August exports up 25% year over year and exports to the US up 34%, which is what happens when tariffs price Americans out of the best deal rather than moving production home. Peter got the receipt himself: the courier billed him for the tariff, then billed him again to process it. Meanwhile the hyperscalers that used to park cash in Treasuries are borrowing from the same pool the government needs, at a moment when interest costs already run $1.2 trillion a year.Chapters:00:00 Intro00:39 War Shock Fuels Commodities02:15 Copper vs Gold Real Money06:11 Iran War Drags On21:31 Tariffs and Trade War Fallout30:18 Producers vs Consumers31:50 Tariffs Shift Trade35:52 Why Trade Wars Fail43:37 Nickels Beat Treasuries50:59 Fed, Inflation, and Wrap-UpFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code GOLD for $255 off! Visit https://sleep.me. * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy