When military information and financial incentives meet, a forecasting tool can become something else entirely

Recent debate over military-related prediction markets has focused attention on who can participate and what they may know before the market does. Some analysts say that combination creates risks that traditional forecasting tools don't present. My guests are Virginia Burger and Janice Luong of the Project on Government Oversight.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.