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The Circuit: Daily Summaries Delivered
by Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg
A podcast about the business and market of semiconductors
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- 5 days ago54 min
EP 185: AMD Advancing AI, Intel Earnings and WFE Demand
In this episode of The Circuit, hosts Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg review major updates across the semiconductor industry, beginning with AMD’s Advancing AI Day where they discuss CEO Lisa Su’s performance, the technical details of the Helios rack-scale architecture, and AMD's strategic fit for inference with partners like Anthropic. They next unpack Intel’s strong quarterly earnings, pointing out that the company beat revenue and margin estimates while confirming customer traction for its 18A and 14A process nodes, despite mixed market reactions over its conservative CapEx approach. The hosts then analyze the broader semiconductor capital equipment (semicap) sector, arguing that increased CapEx from key fab operators will drive sustained demand for equipment makers. Finally, they cover Texas Instruments’ solid quarterly report, noting signs of recovery in automotive and industrial markets along with surging demand for power semiconductors used in AI data centers.
- 1 weeks ago59 min
Ep 184: Earnings TSMC/ASML/AEHR, State of AI Semis
In this episode, Ben and Jay analyze the latest developments in the semiconductor industry, focusing on TSMC, ASML, Air, and the broader market implications of AI and chip manufacturing advancements. They explore how these trends impact supply chains, CapEx, and future growth prospects.Key Topics:TSMC's CapEx increase and demand signalsASML's capacity expansion and high NA EUV technologyAir's role in semiconductor testing and optical advancementsMarket sentiment and investor rotation in semiconductorsThe impact of AI on chip demand and manufacturing
- 2 weeks ago47 min
EP 183: SKHynix IPO, AI Model Wars, and NVIDIA Supply Chain Rumors
In this episode of The Circuit, Ben and Jay dive into SK Hynix's ambitious US stock listing, discussing how the AI-driven memory boom and a need for deeper capital pools prompted the move, while speculating if companies like MediaTek might follow suit. The hosts also explore the fierce competition among frontier AI models, noting that enterprise evaluation is shifting toward token efficiency for knowledge work and emphasizing the growing importance of AI orchestration layers and data ownership. Additionally, they break down Wall Street's harsh reaction to ON Semiconductor's acquisition of Synaptics, attributing the stock drop to a lack of clear corporate messaging regarding both sprawling businesses. Finally, the duo analyzes the rumors surrounding Nvidia's product roadmaps, concluding that while minor delays won't impact Nvidia's overall revenue given the massive compute demand, these shifts can trigger significant market volatility for the smaller optical and supply chain players dependent on those exact timelines.
- 3 weeks ago59 min
EP 182: AI Fatigue , Meta's Neo-Cloud Rumors , and Samsung's Foundry Comeback
In this episode of The Circuit, Ben and Jay break down the recent volatility and AI fatigue hitting semiconductor stocks. They analyze how retail "tourists" and passive index funds might be driving market valuations ahead of actual fundamentals. The hosts also unpack the rumors surrounding Meta reportedly leasing data center capacity to Google, debating whether Mark Zuckerberg's broad AI vision is struggling to align with the company's core advertising model, or if the company is simply bartering excess compute for access to coding tools like Gemini. Finally, the conversation shifts to the evolving foundry landscape, highlighting Infineon's new 300mm fab in Germany and Samsung's strategic use of its memory business to win new logic deals. They conclude with a warning about the unprecedented pricing power and margin expansion currently rippling through the entire semiconductor supply chain
- Jun 29, 20261h 2m
EP 181: Cerebras Earnings, QCOM Investor Day, Micron Earnings and the Memory Mafia
This episode of The Circuit covers a mix of tech industry tributes and major semiconductor financial updates. Hosts Ben and Jay begin by paying their respects to pioneering tech blogger and journalist Om Malik, who recently passed away. They then dive into Cerebras’s first earnings report as a public company, highlighting strong top-line demand for AI inference but noting investor concern over their complicated gross margins. Next, the hosts unpack Qualcomm’s Investor Day, focusing on the company's aggressive $15 billion data center revenue guidance for fiscal 2029, their "Dragonfly" custom ARM CPU roadmap, and their strategic acquisition of software startup Modular. Finally, they analyze Micron's massive earnings report, detailing a staggering 60% quarter-on-quarter memory price surge that has caught major buyers like Apple by surprise, concluding with a lively discussion on the "Game of Thrones" style market dynamics driving the memory industry.
- Jun 22, 202648 min
EP 180: HPE Reflections on AI Compute Racks, Analog Analog Analog Semis.
Key Topics:AI infrastructure evolutionServer and rack engineering innovationsAnalog components and power managementSemiconductor industry growth and GPU impactEnterprise and hyperscaler strategies for differentiationCooling technologies and hybrid solutionsNetworking and infrastructure for AI workloadsMulti-cloud and on-prem AI deployment trends
- Jun 15, 202653 min
EP 179: Apple's WWDC and Siri AI, Nebius Inflection, China Trip Takeaways
In this episode of The Circuit, Ben and Jay dive deep into Apple's WWDC announcements, unpacking the "applied AI" strategy behind the newly indexed Siri, system-level CPU scheduling updates, and Apple's surprising embrace of Nvidia for private cloud compute. Ben also shares his takeaways from the Nebius conference in San Francisco, analyzing their unique custom server racks and their positioning as a highly capable neo-cloud infrastructure provider. Finally, Jay reports back from his recent trip to China, sharing ground-level observations on why US entity list restrictions are losing their impact, how IoT chipmaker Espressif creatively markets globally via Reddit and YouTube despite domestic blocks, and the real-world manufacturing bottlenecks facing humanoid robot actuators.
- Jun 8, 202643 min
Ep 178: COMPUTEX! Broadcom Earnings, other nuggets from the Week
Welcome back to another episode of The Circuit with Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg! Broadcasting out of the post-Computex haze—with Jay still stationed somewhere in Asia —the guys dive into a hardware industry undergoing a massive transition. Computex is no longer just a traditional PC and motherboard showcase; it is officially the new epicenter of AI server and data center infrastructure. Alongside the hardware pivot, Ben and Jay break down Broadcom's recent earnings, discussing how a 20% post-earnings stock dip highlights a volatile market where long-term AI expectations are getting dangerously ahead of near-term deployment realities
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About The Circuit
A podcast about the business and market of semiconductors
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