
Chuck Todd charts a Republican Party running out of road: the Fed hiking rates into Trump-driven inflation, JD Vance reduced to a "give us another chance" midterm pitch while Trump insists the economy is great, troops anonymously leaking photos of damaged bases, and seven Republicans now breaking with the president on War Powers. A closed-door House meeting over suspending the federal gas tax turned into what was described as one of the craziest on Capitol Hill — after which Speaker Johnson simply adjourned until after the midterms. Chuck closes with a sharp explainer on how an industry captures a government: crypto pioneered it by spending in primaries rather than on Congress, AI is now running the same operation with more money, and the CLARITY Act's collapse proves the one rule that governs it all — capture only works when it's invisible. Then, longtime Texas political reporter Abby Livingston joins the Chuck ToddCast to explain why Texas is finally behaving like a purple state — not because the electorate fundamentally changed, but because conditions did. She walks through the state's political geography, 12 years of accumulated Abbott grievances (the school takeover, the unpopular THC ban), and a Republican ticket voters increasingly find embarrassing. Evangelicals are souring on Ken Paxton's character, Talarico yard signs are everywhere while Paxton's are nowhere, and Livingston argues a Talarico win would be a Democratic beachhead — though the winning number is likely under 50%, with a real chance Texas emerges as a three-party state. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football. Sign up link: nextpredict.io/summits/the-worlds-prediction-markets-summit Timeline: 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 07:00 Rate hikes, Vance's midterm pitch, and Trump's delusion 09:45 Damaged bases and the growing Iran war backlash 12:45 Republicans breaking ranks on War Powers 20:45 The gas tax meltdown that shut down the House 28:00 Trump's arch and a Congress that won't stop him 33:00 How an industry captures a government 39:00 The CLARITY Act, crypto's undoing, and AI's turn 52:30 Abby Livingston joins the Chuck ToddCast 54:00 Why Texas is finally turning purple 1:02:00 Abbott fatigue, school takeovers, and the THC ban 1:05:45 The Texas GOP's character problem 1:10:15 What a Talarico win would actually mean 1:14:30 Trump, Latino voters, and the shifting coalition 1:24:00 A three-party Texas and the GOP's civil war 1:30:15 The congressional map in a wave scenario 1:40:15 Camp Mystic, college sports politics, and the UT backlash 1:55:00 Ask Chuck 1:55:15 Thoughts on Georgia Tech and Tennessee? 2:00:30 Thoughts on the Tennessee senate race? 2:08:45 Was avoiding a debate the right move for Mike Rogers? 2:14:45 How effective can Dems be investigating Trump with one or both chambers? 2:19:00 What can Dems realistically do with control of congress? 2:25:30 College football previewSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Chuck’s Commentary - Republicans Are Officially Out Of Ideas + How Industry Captures Government

Interview Only w/ Abby Livingston - Has Texas Finally Turned Purple?

Interview Only w/ Cobi Blumenfeld-Gantz - How To Navigate The Medicare Maze

Chuck’s Commentary - New Polling Portends A Midterm Wipeout + Trump Is Focused On ALL The Wrong Things
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