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The Chuck ToddCast: Daily Summaries Delivered
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The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.
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- 4 days ago1h 12m
Chuck’s Commentary - This Election Was A Trump Tsunami + The Trump Era Is Over
Chuck Todd calls it the Trump Tsunami — a total repudiation whose consequences will last a decade. His core argument is that this was an “and” election, not an “or” one: no single explanation accounts for a wave this size, but Trump broke both of his central promises (no new wars, lower costs) and then spent two years dismissively gaslighting voters about their own lived experience. The polling era underestimated Democrats again, the direction was set months ago, and Republicans lost up and down the ballot — including Texas, which Todd argues Trump personally cost them, with school vouchers a major factor in Abbott’s defeat. Turnout hit its highest level in a century. Democrats actually left Senate and governor seats on the table, with a path to 60 that didn’t materialize. Chuck’s verdict: the Trump era is officially over, there’s now a vacuum in the GOP, and voters endorsed change rather than any ideology — which is why he argues Chuck Schumer, as the embodiment of the status quo, can’t be the answer. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the Ask Chuck segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football and reacts to the first College Football Playoff rankings. Timeline: 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 00:30 Thank you for watching The Projection 05:00 The Trump Tsunami and a decade of consequences 06:30 Why this was an “and” election with no single explanation 09:30 Comparing it to 2006, and how the polls missed again 13:00 Two broken promises and a president who dismissed voters 16:15 Big tech’s new political problem after betting on Trump 18:30 The Trump era is officially over — and he cost the GOP Texas 23:00 Mandates that weren’t, vouchers, and why Abbott lost 26:15 The battleground map has changed, and the seats Democrats left behind 30:30 Voters endorsed change, not an ideology 34:00 Will Democrats actually govern? And where Trump might deal 36:45 The fight for the GOP’s future and the end of JD Vance? 40:45 Why a change election demands new Democratic leadership 48:30 Ask Chuck 48:45 Is the dream of primary reform dead? 50:45 Could McConnell’s candidate selection strategy have weakened the wave? 52:45 How will the lame duck play out? 56:15 Will 2028 play out like 2026, or can the GOP change course enough in two years? 1:00:15 College football previewSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 4 days ago2h 19m
Full Episode - This Election Was A Trump Tsunami + Breaking Down A Seismic Night For Democrats
Chuck Todd calls it the Trump Tsunami — a total repudiation whose consequences will last a decade. His core argument is that this was an “and” election, not an “or” one: no single explanation accounts for a wave this size, but Trump broke both of his central promises (no new wars, lower costs) and then spent two years dismissively gaslighting voters about their own lived experience. The polling era underestimated Democrats again, the direction was set months ago, and Republicans lost up and down the ballot — including Texas, which Todd argues Trump personally cost them, with school vouchers a major factor in Abbott’s defeat. Turnout hit its highest level in a century. Democrats actually left Senate and governor seats on the table, with a path to 60 that didn’t materialize. Todd’s verdict: the Trump era is officially over, there’s now a vacuum in the GOP, and voters endorsed change rather than any ideology — which is why he argues Chuck Schumer, as the embodiment of the status quo, can’t be the answer. Then, DDHQ elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the Chuck ToddCast to break down a genuinely seismic night. Democrats flipped both chambers, taking at least seven Republican Senate seats — Talarico over Paxton in Texas, Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Annie Andrews over Darline Graham in South Carolina, Troy Jackson unseating Susan Collins, El-Sayed over Rogers in Michigan — with Skelley arguing 56 seats is more likely than not once counting finishes. Texas Democrats swept every statewide race, Hinojosa beat Abbott, and Skelley calls the state officially purple and a plausible 2028 presidential battleground. The gerrymandering story is its own indictment: Republicans redrew five Texas seats and are projected to win one, while California’s Democratic map went five for five. Trump’s voters simply didn’t show up, young voters did, and Black turnout approached presidential levels. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the Ask Chuck segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football and reacts to the first College Football Playoff rankings. Timeline: 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 00:30 Thank you for watching The Projection 05:00 The Trump Tsunami and a decade of consequences 06:30 Why this was an “and” election with no single explanation 09:30 Comparing it to 2006, and how the polls missed again 13:00 Two broken promises and a president who dismissed voters 16:15 Big tech’s new political problem after betting on Trump 18:30 The Trump era is officially over — and he cost the GOP Texas 23:00 Mandates that weren’t, vouchers, and why Abbott lost 26:15 The battleground map has changed, and the seats Democrats left behind 30:30 Voters endorsed change, not an ideology 34:00 Will Democrats actually govern? And where Trump might deal 36:45 The fight for the GOP’s future and the end of JD Vance? 40:45 Why a change election demands new Democratic leadership 50:30 Geoffrey Skelley joins The Chuck ToddCast 52:00 How generationally seismic was this? 53:30 Peltola, Alaska, and the path to 56 Senate seats 58:00 The gerrymanders that backfired — Texas, North Carolina, Arizona 1:08:00 How everyone missed the size of the wave 1:14:30 2024 voters wanted the pre-COVID economy and rebuked Trump instead 1:18:45 Nine of the ten biggest states now have Democratic governors 1:20:15 Texas is purple, and the battleground moves to the Sun Belt 1:28:30 Trump voters stayed home, young and Black voters surged 1:34:15 Mississippi, South Carolina, Kansas and Ohio as new battlegrounds 1:44:30 Alaska, Murkowski, and a possible Colorado sweep 1:48:30 The brutal 2028 Senate map for Republicans & a bad day for JD VanceSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 4 days ago1h 8m
Interview Only w/ Geoffrey Skelley - Breaking Down A Seismic Night For Democrats
DDHQ elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the Chuck ToddCast to break down a genuinely seismic night. Democrats flipped both chambers, taking at least seven Republican Senate seats — Talarico over Paxton in Texas, Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Annie Andrews over Darline Graham in South Carolina, Troy Jackson unseating Susan Collins, El-Sayed over Rogers in Michigan — with Skelley arguing 56 seats is more likely than not once counting finishes. Texas Democrats swept every statewide race, Hinojosa beat Abbott, and Skelley calls the state officially purple and a plausible 2028 presidential battleground. The gerrymandering story is its own indictment: Republicans redrew five Texas seats and are projected to win one, while California’s Democratic map went five for five. Trump’s voters simply didn’t show up, young voters did, and Black turnout approached presidential levels. Timeline: 00:00 Geoffrey Skelley joins The Chuck ToddCast 01:30 How generationally seismic was this? 03:00 Peltola, Alaska, and the path to 56 Senate seats 07:30 The gerrymanders that backfired — Texas, North Carolina, Arizona 17:30 How everyone missed the size of the wave 24:00 2024 voters wanted the pre-COVID economy and rebuked Trump instead 28:15 Nine of the ten biggest states now have Democratic governors 29:45 Texas is purple, and the battleground moves to the Sun Belt 38:00 Trump voters stayed home, young and Black voters surged 43:45 Mississippi, South Carolina, Kansas and Ohio as new battlegrounds 54:00 Alaska, Murkowski, and a possible Colorado sweep 58:00 The brutal 2028 Senate map for Republicans — and a bad day for JD VanceSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 5 days ago49 min
THE Ohio State: Coaching Scandals and the Price of Greatness (Part 2)
Chuck Todd and J.A. Adande continue their deep dive into the history of Ohio State football, exploring the bitter rivalries, coaching scandals, and relentless pursuit of greatness that shaped one of college football's most successful dynasties. From Woody Hayes' infamous downfall to the controversies surrounding Jim Tressel and Urban Meyer, they examine how the Buckeyes survived decades of turmoil and built a powerhouse that continues under Ryan Day.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 6 days ago51 min
Super Tuesdays - Democrats Are Winning SEVEN Senate Seats… Or The Polling Industry Is BROKEN
It’s Election Day, and Chuck Todd and Chris Cillizza arrive at a binary: either Democrats pick up seven Senate seats tonight, or the polling industry has to be blown up and rebuilt. The final Times/Siena polls put Democrats ahead in all seven states that will decide the Senate, with only Iowa and Alaska inside a point, and the final NBC survey has Democrats up seven, independents going Democratic by 21, and Trump at 40 percent approval — his worst of either term. Their real question is whether the political class is underselling it, since every predictive metric points the same way and Chuck thinks the polling error is as likely to break toward Democrats as against them. Plus: a walk back through one deranged cycle, Chuck’s coma test for why Iowa tells the whole story, what a sweep actually means in Washington, why leading with impeachment would be the dumbest available move, and Miami at Notre Dame. The Projection, their election-night stream with Decision Desk HQ, starts at 6 p.m. Eastern. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: SUPERTUESDAYS http://kalshi.com/r/SUPERTUESDAYS Timeline 00:00 Election Day, Chuck’s playlist, and one genuinely crazy midterm cycle08:00 Liberation Day, Virginia as the forecaster, and the chart behind the collapse14:00 The final polls: how the electorate moved, and a pollster’s own warning20:00 Either Democrats pick up seven seats, or the polling industry is dead28:00 Kalshi’s last coin flip, Chris Murphy, and the Iowa coma test34:00 If there’s a wave: tariffs first, impeachment last, and can Jeffries govern?44:00 The Projection at 6 p.m., and Catholics versus CriminalsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 1 weeks ago2h 5m
Full Episode - Haley Stevens Lights Her Career On Fire + How To Watch The Election Results
One day out, Chuck Todd reacts to Haley Stevens endorsing Republican Mike Rogers over Abdul El-Sayed — a stunning turn that cost Stevens her staff and, Chuck argues, likely her future in the Democratic Party. The rift escalated over a Cenk Uygur-produced ad El-Sayed disavowed, and Chuck notes the asymmetry: Ralph Norman told South Carolina Republicans to vote their conscience and got a fraction of the coverage. His broader read is that Stevens may have turned El-Sayed into a martyr, and that the establishment forfeits any “we told you so” if he loses. The rest is a full election-night field guide: what Iowa tells you about the wave, the Cuban vote in Miami-Dade, the Rio Grande Valley, Lake Erie counties in Ohio, Wichita, and why a Phil Scott loss in Vermont means Susan Collins can’t survive Maine. Finally, he hops into the ToddCast Time Machine to revisit his four favorite midterm election upsets, answers listeners’ questions in the Ask Chuck segment and recaps the weekend in college football. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD http://kalshi.com/r/CHUCKTODD Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. Timeline: 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 01:00 “The Projection” election night livestream 03:15 Haley Stevens, El-Sayed, and the endorsement that torched a career 11:15 The Young Turks ad, Islamophobia, and Michigan’s early vote 18:30 South Carolina shifts, and Ralph Norman’s permission slip 20:30 Ranked choice voting as the real loser in Alaska 23:30 The NYT backlash and the risk of audience capture 30:15 Will the Obama-Trump voter come home? Will the Trump voter show up? 36:00 Florida: Miami-Dade, the Panhandle, and how Jolly beats Donalds 39:15 Georgia, Ohio’s Lake Erie counties, and Maine’s mid-coast 46:30 Michigan, Mississippi, Kansas, Texas, Iowa and Nebraska — what to watch 1:06:00 ToddCast Time Machine - Chuck’s 4 favorite midterm election upsets 1:08:30 1982 - Tom Bradley loses in California 1:12:15 1994 - Mario Cuomo loses reelection for his 4th term to George Pataki 1:16:00 1998 - Jesse Ventura wins Minnesota governor’s race 1:20:30 1998 - “The impeachment election” 1:26:30 Ask Chuck 1:26:45 What long term price will JD Vance pay for supporting Ramaswamy ad? 1:29:45 How would history be different if Al Gore won in 2000? 1:34:15 Do political yard signs actually accomplish anything? 1:37:00 Jamie Raskin’s potential for role as Speaker of the House? 1:40:30 Are senior military leaders prepared for a constitutional crisis? 1:43:00 Thoughts on Trump covering diversity mural before a rally? 1:49:00 Will all the swing states go one way in 2026 like they did in 2024? 1:52:15 What does GOP ceding airwaves in DC mean? 1:55:00 College football recapSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 1 weeks ago1h 10m
Interview Only w/ Reid Wilson - The Midterm Story Everyone Is Missing… State Governments
Reid Wilson — founder of Pluribus News and GM of enterprise news at State Affairs — joins the Chuck ToddCast for the midterm story nobody in Washington covers: 88 state chambers and roughly 6,000 legislative seats on the ballot. His read is that Republicans are in line for a genuinely bad night at the state level. Democrats need only two seats in each Arizona chamber to flip the legislature, Wisconsin is in play despite gerrymandering, a Gina Hinojosa win likely brings the Texas House with it, and Republicans could lose supermajorities in Ohio, Kansas and Florida. Wilson flags affordability as the dominant issue with data centers climbing fast — and says if Greg Abbott loses, data centers are why. He also argues Rob Sand wins Iowa going away, that Ramaswamy’s money won’t save him, and that if anti-Trump Republican Phil Scott loses in Vermont, it tells you exactly how toxic the party brand has become. Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! Timeline: 00:00 Reid Wilson joins The Chuck ToddCast 01:45 What State Affairs covers, and why 88 chambers matter 07:00 How the state map collapsed for Democrats — and where it’s turning back 13:15 Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and the chambers in play 18:15 Rob Sand, supermajorities at risk, and the issues driving it 21:30 Affordability, data centers, and who’s writing the checks 26:00 Prediction markets running the sportsbook playbook 29:45 The voucher backlash and what happened in Iowa 32:30 A more factionalized GOP than people realize 35:30 The shock results that would signal a huge wave 39:30 Oregon, Minnesota, Vermont, and Nevada’s undecideds 50:30 Can Democrats win statewide in Florida? 54:30 Ballot initiatives to watch — abortion, trans sports, and major tax fightsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
- 1 weeks ago1h 53m
Chuck’s Commentary - What To Watch For On Election Night + Democrats’ Dirty Trick In Alaska
The New York Times reported Wednesday that operatives tied to Mary Peltola’s campaign and the DSCC actively recruited the second Dan Sullivan onto Alaska’s Senate ballot — a Democratic consultant reportedly flew to a remote village to convince a retired teacher to run. Peltola’s campaign has denied involvement; a former campaign manager told the Times Peltola wasn’t personally involved but was “definitely aware.” Chuck Todd calls it a genuine October surprise, though not a unique tactic — both parties have boosted spoiler candidates for decades — and notes Democrats get held to a higher standard precisely because voters assume Trump will cheat. With ranked-choice voting, he’s skeptical it moves the race much. He’s far less forgiving on Ohio, where the Daily Mail tracked down Amy Acton’s stepfather and his daughter, meaning everyone that man traumatized has now been forced to relive it. Then: what Chuck’s watching on election night, starting with Indiana and Kentucky at poll close and ending with Iowa as the bellwether for everything. Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and previews the upcoming weekend in college football. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Sign up today to get $25 in bonuses when you trade $25: CHUCKTODD http://kalshi.com/r/CHUCKTODD Chapter and its affiliates are not connected with or endorsed by any government entity or the federal Medicare program. Chapter Advisory, LLC represents Medicare Advantage HMO, PPO, and PFFS organizations and stand alone prescription drug plans that have a Medicare contract. Enrollment depends on the plan’s contract renewal. While we have a database of every Medicare plan nationwide and can help you to search among all plans, we have contracts with many but not all plans. As a result, we do not offer every plan available in your area. Currently we represent 50 organizations which offer 18,160 products nationwide. We search and recommend all plans, even those we don’t directly offer. You can contact a licensed Chapter agent to find out the number of products available in your specific area. Get your wardrobe sorted and your gift list handled with Quince. Don't wait! Go to https://Quince.com/CHUCK for free shipping on your order and 365-day returns. Now available in Canada, too! Timeline: 00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction 03:30 The NYT report on the second Dan Sullivan 05:30 Both parties do this — and why Democrats get judged differently 11:00 Does it actually change the Alaska race? 15:45 The Acton ad’s collateral damage, and the price Ramaswamy will pay 22:00 Political mercenaries, Roger Marshall, and selective outrage 25:00 Election night livestream details 28:15 Why Iowa is the bellwether for the entire midterm 35:00 The Iowa Senate race as the purest test of the environment 39:00 First tea leaves: IN-05, IN-01 and KY-06 44:45 Virginia’s predictive power and the VA-05 tsunami signal 49:30 Florida timing, Georgia after midnight, and the likely Texas split 55:30 Probability vs. possibility — and the decline of exit polling 1:08:30 Ask Chuck 1:09:45 Any connection between local sports teams’ success and election results? 1:14:30 If Dems sweep both chambers, worth bringing the Lankford border bill up for a vote? 1:17:30 How can average person distinguish credible polls from bad ones? 1:28:15 How do you justify Miami’s #1 ranking when they haven’t beaten a ranked team? 1:33:00 When Trump's presidency is done, who’s tell-all are you most looking forward to? 1:37:00 College football previewSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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About The Chuck ToddCast
The Chuck ToddCast goes beyond the headlines, featuring conversations with top reporters, insiders, and newsmakers from D.C. to the heartland. No scripts, no spin—just real discussions about what’s shaping our politics and why it matters.
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