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by Mutual Broadcasting System LLC
STRAT – Strategic Risk Assessment Talk, is a forum with a preparedness mindset. Mitigating risks, creating systems of prevention and recovery to deal with potential threats, and understanding the objectives of a Business Continuity Plan. This is the podcast for leaders who are committed to being prepared. The program is hosted by retired Marine Corps intelligence officer and strategic risk assessment professional Hal Kempfer and investment banker Mark Mansfield.
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- 3 days ago27 min
STRAT | 02 NOV 2026 | Hybrid Warfare Here in the Homeland
What would hybrid warfare look like on American soil? Retired Marine intelligence officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines how foreign adversaries could use covert sabotage, cyberattacks, and drones to disrupt daily life while obscuring who is responsible. He explores how Iran and Russia could recruit local operatives online, where Hezbollah fits into the threat picture, and how cyber operations linked to China could compound disruptions. Kempfer walks through scenarios involving power grids, water systems, ports, airports, and public events, showing how localized incidents could ripple through national supply chains. He also revisits Fortress America, the push for military installations to operate independently for 90 days and considers what lessons civilian communities can draw about preparing for outages, recognizing warning signs, and acting before a crisis unfolds.Takeaways:Gray zone tactics make it harder to identify attackers.Online recruitment can give foreign intelligence services local reach.Kempfer examines Hezbollah’s potential role in Iranian retaliation.Drones could disrupt ports, airports, and public gatherings.Power and water outages could ripple through supply chains.Cyberattacks could amplify the effects of physical sabotage.Fortress America targets 90 days of military base self-sufficiency.Early warnings matter when there’s still time to prepare.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #HybridWarfare #GrayZoneWarfare #HomelandSecurity #FortressAmerica #MilitaryReadiness #EmergencyPreparedness #CriticalInfrastructure #InfrastructureResilience #SupplyChainSecurity #Cyberattacks #CovertSabotage #DroneThreats #OnlineRecruitment #Iran #Russia #Hezbollah
- 1 weeks ago21 min
STRAT | 29 OCT 2026 | Military Preparing for Catastrophic Events Here at Home
What happens when the power grid fails and supply lines stop? On this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines military preparations for catastrophic disruptions at home and the growing emphasis on civilian readiness abroad. He explores the FORTRESS initiative outlined for U.S. bases, including independent energy, water, fuel, communications, and essential supplies. From microgrids and battery storage to emergency stockpiles, Kempfer connects military resilience with practical household planning. The discussion also covers preparedness efforts across Europe and Japan, where emergency kits help families weather disasters, cyberattacks, and infrastructure failures. Learn why water, medicine, evacuation routes, and regularly refreshed supplies deserve attention, and how sensible preparation can strengthen resilience without panic when everyday systems suddenly become unavailable during a major emergency.Takeaways:FORTRESS targets 90 days of essential military base operations.Microgrids and batteries support energy independence during infrastructure failures.Independent water, fuel, and communications strengthen military resilience.European and Japanese preparedness efforts emphasize household emergency supplies.Preparedness addresses disasters, cyberattacks, conflict, and supply disruptions.Water and medicine deserve special attention in emergency planning.Build stockpiles gradually and refresh supplies every six months.Pair emergency supplies with a clear evacuation plan.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #MilitaryPreparedness #FORTRESSInitiative #EmergencyPreparedness #MilitaryResilience #NationalSecurity #InfrastructureResilience #EnergyIndependence #Microgrids #SupplyChainResilience #CyberThreats #DisasterPreparedness #HouseholdPreparedness #EmergencySupplies #EvacuationPlanning #CivilianReadiness #StrategicStockpiles
- 2 weeks ago29 min
STRAT | 21 OCT 2026 | Defeating the Houthis
What would it take to defeat the Houthis, and why could the campaign last for years? On STRAT, retired Marine intelligence officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines the Houthi threat to Saudi Arabia and the strategic choices facing a Saudi-led coalition. He explores how Iranian-supplied drones and missiles threaten infrastructure, investment, and regional security, while assessing the potential role of international military support. Kempfer outlines a possible campaign centered on securing Yemen’s cities, ports, and transportation corridors, disrupting weapons supplies, and pressuring Houthi forces in mountainous terrain. The discussion also considers lessons from Ukraine’s evolving drone war, the importance of stronger air defenses, and the growing role of autonomous systems. Beyond battlefield operations, Kempfer examines how diplomacy, tribal alliances, and support for Yemen’s internationally recognized government could shape the outcome. Listen for an assessment of the resources, risks, and sustained commitment that campaign could demand from Saudi Arabia and its partners.Takeaways:Houthi drones and missiles threaten Saudi infrastructure and investment.Iranian weapons supply lines represent a critical Houthi vulnerability.Cities, ports, and transportation corridors anchor Yemen’s strategic landscape.Mountainous terrain complicates military operations and Houthi supply routes.Ukraine’s drone war offers lessons for Saudi air defenses.International military support could strengthen Saudi defensive capabilities.Diplomacy and tribal alliances could influence the campaign’s outcome.Defeating the Houthis could require years of sustained commitment.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #DefeatingTheHouthis #Houthis #Yemen #SaudiArabia #Iran #MiddleEastSecurity #RedSeaSecurity #DroneWarfare #MissileDefense #MilitaryStrategy #RegionalSecurity #Geopolitics #DefenseTechnology #SupplyLines #StrategicAssessment #InternationalRelations
- 2 weeks ago25 min
STRAT | 18 OCT 2026 | Ukraine, Russia and US at a Crossroads
Ukraine, Russia and the United States face a pivotal moment as shifting energy policy strains alliances and complicates the search for peace. Retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines President Trump’s relationship with President Zelenskyy, the legacy of Trump’s first impeachment, and the strategic consequences of Washington’s changing approach to Moscow. This episode explores Russian sanctions, a controversial diesel agreement, and how conflict with Iran and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz shape global fuel markets. Kempfer also discusses reported satellite service restrictions affecting Ukraine, competing accounts of an energy ceasefire, and Europe’s efforts to respond to uncertainty over American support. With congressional criticism mounting and midterm elections approaching, the conversation considers what these developments could mean for NATO, American credibility, defense partnerships, and adversaries including China, Iran, and North Korea. Join STRAT for an assessment of the risks, political calculations, and wider consequences of this foreign policy crossroads.Takeaways:Trump’s impeachment history provides context for current Ukraine tensions.Russia sanctions waivers raise questions about American strategic priorities.The diesel deal faces supply constraints and political scrutiny.Conflict with Iran complicates global energy markets.Reported satellite restrictions highlight Ukraine’s reliance on American technology.Competing ceasefire accounts reveal deep distrust between the parties.European allies weigh responses to unpredictable American support.Policy shifts carry consequences for NATO and American credibility.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #Ukraine #Russia #USForeignPolicy #DonaldTrump #VolodymyrZelenskyy #VladimirPutin #RussiaSanctions #DieselDeal #EnergySecurity #StraitOfHormuz #IranConflict #Starlink #Starshield #NATO #Geopolitics #GlobalSecurity
- 3 weeks ago24 min
STRAT | 11 OCT 2026 | The Russian Diesel Deal Dilemma
Can buying Russian diesel ease America’s fuel crunch, or will it deepen a strategic crisis? In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines the proposed Russian diesel deal and the legal, political, and security questions surrounding it. He explores bipartisan congressional opposition, allied concerns, and the implications for Ukraine’s defense and efforts to constrain Moscow’s energy revenues. Kempfer also looks beyond the headlines to the pressures driving diesel shortages: conflict involving Iran, disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, damage to Gulf refineries, and constrained refining capacity. The discussion considers whether Russia can deliver meaningful supplies, how energy ceasefire claims affect diplomacy, and why promised imports may offer limited relief at the pump. From global supply chains to domestic politics, this episode assesses the risks of a controversial energy bargain and what it could mean for consumers, American credibility, and the broader balance of power abroad.Takeaways:Russian diesel purchases face legal challenges and bipartisan opposition.Allied objections complicate the proposed Russian energy deal.Diesel shortages reflect broader disruptions across global energy markets.Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten critical refined fuel supplies.Gulf refinery damage adds pressure to global diesel availability.Russia’s export capacity raises questions about promised deliveries.Energy ceasefire claims face scrutiny amid continued infrastructure attacks.Domestic refining constraints complicate efforts to lower diesel prices.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #RussianDiesel #DieselDeal #EnergySecurity #DieselPrices #RussiaUkraineWar #EnergyPolicy #OilSanctions #StraitOfHormuz #GlobalEnergyMarkets #FuelSupply #RefiningCapacity #Geopolitics #CongressionalOpposition #EnergyCeasefire #SupplyChainDisruptions #StrategicRisk
- Oct 6, 202626 min
STRAT | 06 OCT 2026 | California’s “Illegal Domestic Spying” Imbroglio
Retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines California’s “illegal domestic spying” controversy and the questions it raises about homeland security training, federal funding, and government accountability. Drawing on his account of a 2008 training moratorium and later court testimony, Kempfer explores conflicting explanations for why a counterterrorism course was halted, then allowed to continue. He asks whether disputed curriculum taught nationwide could have affected investigations, evidence, and subsequent court decisions. The episode considers two competing possibilities: officials accurately described unlawful surveillance training, or their testimony misrepresented the FBI’s assessment. Kempfer also discusses the legacy of COINTELPRO, constitutional protections, and potential consequences for California agencies and federal partners. Throughout, he argues that unresolved allegations warrant clarification, transparency, and scrutiny. Join STRAT for a provocative discussion of institutional responsibility, the integrity of public safety training, and why the answers could matter far beyond California’s borders for communities and agencies across America.Takeaways:Kempfer questions conflicting explanations for California’s counterterrorism training moratorium.State testimony attributed disputed surveillance concerns to the FBI.Continued training raises questions about oversight and curriculum safeguards.Alleged surveillance practices could have implications for investigations nationwide.COINTELPRO’s legacy underscores the importance of protecting civil liberties.Federal funding disputes add another dimension to institutional accountability.Potential legal consequences depend on resolving the underlying allegations.Kempfer calls for clarification from California and federal agencies.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #California #DomesticSpying #HomelandSecurity #Counterterrorism #IntelligenceTraining #FusionCenters #FederalFunding #GovernmentAccountability #CivilLiberties #ConstitutionalRights #COINTELPRO #FBI #DHS #LawEnforcement #PublicSafety #SurveillanceOversight
- Oct 1, 202633 min
STRAT | 01 OCT 2026 | 9-11 Remembered, and How California Countered Counterterrorism
Twenty-five years after September 11, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer reflects on the attacks and examines California’s evolving approach to terrorism prevention. Drawing on his experience with the Terrorism Early Warning program, he traces the origins of Terrorism Liaison Officer training and explains how public safety partnerships helped identify potential threats. Kempfer alleges that funding priorities, conflicts of interest, and bureaucratic decisions weakened training, reduced suspicious activity reporting, and undermined regional preparedness. He connects those concerns to missed warning signs surrounding subsequent attacks, including the 2015 San Bernardino massacre, while arguing that prevention requires sustained education and cooperation. The conversation also considers accountability, institutional retaliation, and the risks posed by violent extremism and hybrid warfare. This anniversary episode asks what lessons from September 11 remain unlearned, and why effective intelligence sharing, training, and public vigilance still matter for protecting communities against today’s increasingly complex and evolving security threats.Takeaways:Remembering September 11 means examining enduring gaps in prevention.Kempfer traces California’s Terrorism Early Warning program origins.Terrorism Liaison Officers help public safety professionals recognize threats.Suspicious activity reporting supports early intervention and threat assessment.Kempfer alleges funding priorities undermined essential counterterrorism training.San Bernardino highlights Kempfer’s concerns about missed warning signs.Institutional accountability and cooperation remain central to effective prevention.Violent extremism and hybrid warfare demand sustained threat awareness.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #September11 #NeverForget #California #Counterterrorism #TerrorismPrevention #HomelandSecurity #TerrorismEarlyWarning #TerrorismLiaisonOfficer #PublicSafety #IntelligenceSharing #SuspiciousActivityReporting #SanBernardino #LawEnforcementTraining #GovernmentAccountability #ViolentExtremism #HybridWarfare
- Sep 28, 202627 min
STRAT | 27 SEP 2026 | CRINK on the Brink
Could mounting economic and security pressures fracture the informal alignment of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea? On this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer examines CRINK and the dependencies connecting four American adversaries. Kempfer explores how war, sanctions, disrupted energy revenues, and domestic strains could weaken Russia and Iran, with consequences for North Korea and China. He considers the role of hybrid warfare, the vulnerabilities of interconnected economies, and the potential regional fallout if a member’s government loses its grip on power. Looking beyond conflicts, the discussion asks how Western democracies should prepare for sudden political transitions and what lessons the Soviet Union’s collapse offers policymakers today. From military logistics to global supply chains, this strategic risk assessment examines how instability could spread across CRINK and why planning for possible upheaval matters before a crisis forces the world to respond under pressure with limited options.Takeaways:CRINK connects China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea.Mutual dependencies could spread instability across all four countries.Hybrid warfare extends confrontation beyond conventional battlefields.Kempfer examines Russia’s economic pressures and military vulnerabilities.Iran’s economic strains could threaten the regime’s stability.North Korea’s Russian ties could become a strategic vulnerability.China’s debt and property risks complicate its strategic outlook.Western democracies should prepare for potential political transitions.#STRATPodcast #HalKempfer #MutualBroadcastingSystem #StrategicRiskAnalysis #CRINK #China #Russia #Iran #NorthKorea #Geopolitics #HybridWarfare #GlobalSecurity #EconomicInstability #RegimeChange #WesternDemocracies #UkraineWar #EnergySecurity #SupplyChains #ForeignPolicy #StrategicPlanning
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About STRAT
STRAT – Strategic Risk Assessment Talk, is a forum with a preparedness mindset. Mitigating risks, creating systems of prevention and recovery to deal with potential threats, and understanding the objectives of a Business Continuity Plan. This is the podcast for leaders who are committed to being prepared. The program is hosted by retired Marine Corps intelligence officer and strategic risk assessment professional Hal Kempfer and investment banker Mark Mansfield.
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