Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

The Matchup Show, Week 1: The Matchups That Decide the Big Games

September 10, 2026·44 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts.Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football.Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about.85% OFF THE WEEKLY BETTING PACKAGEWe opened the season 3-1, hit both of our top props on Wednesday night, and a $100 bettor won $378 on the first game of the year. Get every Week 1 play plus early Week 2 action for $15. Use code SHOW85 at checkout.https://sharp.footballTHE WORKSHEETA full preview of every single game, every week, written by Rich Hribar. Included with the fantasy packages.https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/THE 2026 FOOTBALL PREVIEW600 plus pages. Every team chapter, every positional unit ranked, win total analysis and the futures market.https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ALL PACKAGEShttps://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/CHAPTERS00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show00:35 Seahawks 13, Patriots 10: what actually happened07:28 Three videos a week this season08:08 Matchup 1: Texans offense vs Bills defense14:21 The other side: Josh Allen against the Texans pass rush15:54 C.J. Stroud at home and on the road17:09 Matchup 2: Bengals passing game vs Bucs defensive front21:19 Joe Burrow's Week 1 problem24:39 Can Cincinnati run it against this front26:35 85% off the Week 1 betting package27:38 Matchup 3: Ravens and Colts33:30 Lamar Jackson and the new Ravens offense38:04 Sneaky important matchup38:29 Rich's pick: Steelers 12 personnel41:09 Warren's pick: Jordan Love vs Brian Flores43:50 Tell us if you want this every weekNew show, every Thursday, all season long.Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaOe53L5LNYX: https://x.com/SharpFootballX: https://x.com/LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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