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Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp: Daily Summaries Delivered
by Warren Sharp
Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!
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- 3 days ago48 min
(37-13, 74% Lifetime) NFL Week 2 Best Bets & Player Props 2026
NFL Week 2 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus the biggest college football game of the weekend. Warren Sharp is 37-13 (74%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 2 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss and Joe Gibbs on the Week 2 referees. It starts with three things from Week 1 that change how you bet Week 2. Houston's revamped offense and what it does to opponent play volume against the Bengals. Tampa's blitz rate against a Cleveland offense that cannot get the ball out. And the Eagles, a league low on first down and a win anyway, now on the road in Tennessee. Two weeks free: code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus monthly package gets you a full month of Warren's NFL recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. https://sharp.football Games covered: LSU at Ole Miss, Bengals at Texans, Jaguars at Broncos, Saints at Ravens, Browns at Buccaneers and Giants at Rams on Monday Night Football. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN How Houston's offense changed its intent in Week 1 and why opponent play volume is the number to watch Why Tampa's blitz rate against a slow time to throw is the mismatch of the week Why the Eagles offense is a problem even in a win, and what the first down and play action numbers say Ryan McCrystal on LSU at Ole Miss, the doubtful quarterback, and why the line has barely moved Rich Hribar's three Week 2 props and the numbers behind each one, including where he ladders The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks, including the best home field referee in the league Warren's Week 2 best bet and a scheduling angle that has only happened four times since 1990 CHAPTERS 00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show 01:10 Houston's revamped offense and opponent play volume 04:02 Tampa's pressure against Cleveland 08:31 What is going on with the Eagles offense 11:39 College football with Ryan McCrystal 12:06 LSU at Ole Miss 20:51 Two weeks free with code SHOW35 22:12 Rich Hribar prop 1: Saints at Ravens 25:04 Prop 2: Jaguars at Broncos 30:44 Prop 3: Jaguars at Broncos 32:43 The ref report with Joe Gibbs 33:20 Bengals at Texans 35:21 Jaguars at Broncos 37:05 Giants at Rams, Monday Night Football 39:29 OddsJam, code WARREN 40:10 Warren's best bet of the week 47:59 Wrap-up PROMO CODES SHOW35: two weeks free on the NFL Plus monthly package at https://sharp.football OddsJam code WARREN: free week trial and 40% off your first month, https://oddsjam.com/nfl/screen/moneyline?promo=warren GUESTS Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebs Ryan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college football Joe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysis Hosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCES The Worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/ The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ All packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Follow us: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis and https://x.com/SharpFootball Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 3 days ago37 min
NFL Week 2 Preview: The Matchups That Decide the Big Games
Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 2: the Bears offense against Brian Flores and the Vikings defense, the Steelers offense against the Patriots defense, and Dak Prescott against the Commanders pass defense.Buy two weeks, get two weeks free. A full month of NFL betting recommendations plus Rich Hribar's breakdown of every game for the price of two weeks. Use code SHOW35 on the NFL Plus Monthly package at sharp.football.Players discussed: Caleb Williams, Jordan Love, Carson Wentz, Justin Jefferson, Aaron Rodgers, Jaylen Warren, Rico Dowdle, Jadarian Price, Drew Lock, Dak Prescott, Jalen Hurts, CeeDee Lamb, Jayden Daniels, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Cam Ward.What you will learn• How Brian Flores has blitzed Caleb Williams in all four meetings• The shotgun vs under center split that could decide Bears at Vikings• What the Vikings offense looks like with Carson Wentz• How much the Steelers offense changed with Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy• Why the Steelers backfield split could tighten toward Jaylen Warren• Why Dak Prescott's Week 1 was not all on Dak, and what he does against the blitz• Two under the radar matchups for SundayChapters00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show00:36 Matchup 1: Bears offense vs Vikings defense05:08 Shotgun or under center: how the Bears beat Flores09:25 Three shows every week10:03 The Vikings offense with Carson Wentz12:48 Matchup 2: Steelers offense vs Patriots defense15:09 Aaron Rodgers and the new Steelers offense17:26 Can Pittsburgh run on New England19:43 Jaylen Warren vs Rico Dowdle21:37 Matchup 3: Dak Prescott vs Commanders pass defense23:32 Dak vs the blitz and Dan Quinn26:39 The Cowboys defense problem30:24 The Worksheet: every game, every week31:05 Sneaky important matchups31:40 Rich's pick: Ravens run game vs the Saints34:14 Warren's pick: Eagles defense vs Titans offense36:52 See you next weekThe Worksheet, a full preview of every single game every week written by Rich Hribar, is included with the fantasy packages: the worksheet.All packages: sharpfootballanalysis.com/packagesFollow UsX: @SharpFootballX: @LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 1 weeks ago51 min
(36-13, 73% Lifetime) NFL Week 1 Best Bets & Player Props 2026
NFL Week 1 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus two college football sides for Saturday. Warren Sharp is 36-13 (73%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 1 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal's college football picks and Joe Gibbs on the Week 1 referees.Week 1 sale: code SHOW85 takes 85% off any weekly betting package, every Week 1 recommendation plus early Week 2 action for $15. Code SHOW25 takes 25% off a monthly or season-long package. sharp.footballPlayers and teams discussed: Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Rhamondre Stevenson, Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Seahawks at Patriots, Ohio State at Texas, Oklahoma at Michigan, Bengals vs Buccaneers, Bears vs Panthers, Saints at Lions, Packers at Vikings, Cowboys at Giants and Broncos at Chiefs.WHAT YOU WILL LEARN• Which teams moved to under center the most this preseason, and why it matters for Daniels, Lamar and Burrow• Why Week 1 is the week to be careful with your bankroll, and why Week 2 is overreaction week• How to use alt ladders on player props• Ryan McCrystal's picks for Ohio State at Texas and Oklahoma at Michigan• Rich Hribar's three Week 1 props and the numbers behind each one• The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks• Warren's Week 1 best bet and the numbers behind itCHAPTERS00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show01:06 Seahawks over Patriots: the opener02:33 Quarterbacks going under center more in 202609:08 New coaches, new roles, new prices13:21 How we bet props (and the Stevenson ladder)17:30 College football picks with Ryan McCrystal18:16 Ohio State at Texas pick21:44 Oklahoma at Michigan pick25:31 85% off the Week 1 betting package26:58 Rich Hribar prop 1: Bengals vs Bucs29:35 Prop 2: Bears vs Panthers32:23 Prop 3: Saints at Lions35:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs36:29 Packers at Vikings38:34 Cowboys at Giants, Sunday Night Football40:55 Broncos at Chiefs, Monday Night Football43:46 Warren's best bet of the week51:34 Wrap-upWatch the video version on YouTube: https://youtu.be/KEB0lOgXzl8PROMO CODESSHOW85: 85% off any weekly betting package at sharp.footballSHOW25: 25% off a monthly or season-long packageOddsJam code WARREN: free trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.comGUESTSRich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebsRyan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college footballJoe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysisHosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootballMORE RESOURCESThe WorksheetThe 2026 Football Preview bookAll packagesFollow UsYouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 1 weeks ago44 min
The Matchup Show, Week 1: The Matchups That Decide the Big Games
Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts.Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football.Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about.85% OFF THE WEEKLY BETTING PACKAGEWe opened the season 3-1, hit both of our top props on Wednesday night, and a $100 bettor won $378 on the first game of the year. Get every Week 1 play plus early Week 2 action for $15. Use code SHOW85 at checkout.https://sharp.footballTHE WORKSHEETA full preview of every single game, every week, written by Rich Hribar. Included with the fantasy packages.https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/THE 2026 FOOTBALL PREVIEW600 plus pages. Every team chapter, every positional unit ranked, win total analysis and the futures market.https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ALL PACKAGEShttps://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/CHAPTERS00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show00:35 Seahawks 13, Patriots 10: what actually happened07:28 Three videos a week this season08:08 Matchup 1: Texans offense vs Bills defense14:21 The other side: Josh Allen against the Texans pass rush15:54 C.J. Stroud at home and on the road17:09 Matchup 2: Bengals passing game vs Bucs defensive front21:19 Joe Burrow's Week 1 problem24:39 Can Cincinnati run it against this front26:35 85% off the Week 1 betting package27:38 Matchup 3: Ravens and Colts33:30 Lamar Jackson and the new Ravens offense38:04 Sneaky important matchup38:29 Rich's pick: Steelers 12 personnel41:09 Warren's pick: Jordan Love vs Brian Flores43:50 Tell us if you want this every weekNew show, every Thursday, all season long.Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaOe53L5LNYX: https://x.com/SharpFootballX: https://x.com/LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 2 weeks ago1h 22m
NFL Win Total Draft 2026: The Teams We Trust Most
2026 NFL win totals, drafted. Three analysts pick 30 of the 32 teams in snake order by who will win the most games this season, with the schedule, roster and coaching reasons behind every pick and the two teams nobody wanted.Get 25 percent off every package with code TAKE25: https://sharp.footballTen rounds, thirty picks, two teams left on the board. Every pick comes with a case for the team, a case against it, and the win total number the market put on it. The back half covers the two teams nobody drafted, the picks that could look dumb by December, the Week 1 games where the drafters go head to head, and the strength of schedule tool that will update every week of the season.What You'll Learn• Which teams three analysts trust most for wins in 2026, in the order they were taken• Why the defending Super Bowl champions and the runners-up both lasted past the second round• The field goal luck and one-score record that explain one team's 2025• Why a team coming off a Super Bowl loss went in the fourth round• The late-season schedule that flattered a young quarterback's finish last year• Which teams sit in a brutal division, and which ones drew the easy runs• The four Week 1 games where two drafters own opposite sidelines• The two teams nobody drafted, and whyChapters00:00 Welcome, and what a win total draft is00:46 The Merril Hoge and Skip Bayless clip03:22 Why the analysis has to be researched04:32 Meet the drafters, and the two-time champ06:59 How the draft works08:30 Round 109:39 The code for 25 percent off17:13 Round 221:50 Round 325:12 Round 431:27 Round 539:46 Round 641:19 The Splash Sports pick five contest46:15 Round 750:42 Round 857:49 Round 91:06:35 Round 101:10:44 The two teams nobody drafted1:14:23 Which picks could look dumb1:15:42 Week 1 head to head games1:18:08 Which teams were under-drafted, and the projected totals1:20:33 The strength of schedule tool1:21:32 Wrap, and the packagesWatch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjCqN1RcX0wSplash Sports Pick 5 ContestCode SHARP, $100 entry, enter by September 13: https://splashsports.com/sharpToday's DraftersWarren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootballRich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/LordReebsRaymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlinMore ResourcesAll packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/Futures packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/Follow UsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysisX: https://x.com/SharpFootballWebsite: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 2 weeks ago1h 4m
NFL Player Props 2026: Our 12 Favorite Bets
Twelve NFL player props and futures for the 2026 season from four Sharp Football analysts, with the schedule, target and blocking-scheme numbers behind them. Get the full props and futures packages at sharpfootballanalysis.com/props. Players and teams discussed: Josh Allen, D.J. Moore, Dalton Kincaid, Carnell Tate, Cam Ward, Elic Ayomanor, Rome Odunze, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Love, Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Woody Marks, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Jaylen Waddle, Javonte Williams, Chase Brown, Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN • Why Buffalo's schedule of opposing offenses swings hard in the other direction this season • The quarterback who has hit a 5 percent touchdown rate in each of the last six seasons, and why nobody else over that stretch has • What happened to D.J. Moore's target quality in Chicago, and what changes now • Why a rookie wide receiver's reception floor depends on his quarterback's accuracy downfield • The 50 yard per game gap between one running back's wins and losses over the last two seasons • Why one of the run heaviest offenses in the league may be forced to throw more • Where one running back ranked among 44 backs on man blocking runs last season • How a Green Bay receiver's usage changed over the last three or four weeks of last season • What Denver's first half early down air yards this preseason say about the offense they are about to run • Two division futures, and the prices Warren was seeing when this was recorded CHAPTERS 00:00 Welcome, and what the show is 00:28 Who is on today, and the 25 percent off code 02:09 Rich Hribar joins, and the case for more Buffalo passing 03:51 The first angle, Josh Allen and the end zone 05:00 The schedule swing that could change the Bills defense 06:49 The first receiver, D.J. Moore and his target quality 09:29 Dalton Kincaid at tight end, health and routes 13:29 Ray Summerlin joins, a draft story and the rankings tool 18:05 Ray's first bet, Carnell Tate and Cam Ward 23:45 Ray's second bet, Jonathan Taylor and the Colts 28:19 Ray's third bet, Jordan Love and a run heavy offense 31:52 What Green Bay's defense does to the game script 36:16 Curtis Hirsch joins, and a Cowboys curveball 39:28 Curtis's first bet, David Montgomery to Houston 43:44 Curtis's second bet, Christian Watson in Green Bay 46:34 Curtis's third bet, Jaylen Waddle to Denver 52:16 Warren's turn, and why some of his numbers already moved 53:17 Chase Brown and the Bengals ground game 55:22 The first division future 58:26 The second division future 1:03:53 Twelve futures, one show Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaZ6bZJN4hY GUESTS Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis — @LordReebs Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis — @RMSummerlin Curtis Hirsch, Sharp Football Analysis — @curtisharsch Hosted by Warren Sharp — @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCESSeason long player propsFutures packagesThe 2026 Football Preview bookAll packages Follow Us YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 3 weeks ago1h 8m
10 Fantasy Football Value Targets with JJ Zachariason
Fantasy football draft targets for 2026 - ten players Rich Hribar and JJ Zachariason are drafting this season, with the route rates, target share, red zone usage and ADP behind every pick. Get the fantasy football bundle for $99 with code BUNDLE, the draft kit plus the full regular season, normally $190: https://sharp.football Rich Hribar is joined by JJ Zachariason of Late-Round Fantasy Football for the sixth year of their targets and avoids trade off. JJ brings Chase Brown, Malik Willis, Jaylen Waddle, Dalton Kincaid and Stefon Diggs. Rich brings DeVonta Smith, Justin Herbert, Christian Watson, D.J. Moore and Jordan Mason, plus a detour on whether Josh Allen is worth the pick this year. What You'll Learn: • Why a running back with almost nothing changing around him is the most stable early pick on their boards • The wide receiver whose splits without his old teammate have been absurd every time we get them • A quarterback going outside the top 20 who only needs his legs to finish as a QB1 • Why one of the league's best arms is being priced like a backup on some platforms • The receiver who just walked into a fifth-in-pass-attempts offense and a role the last guy could not hold • The receiver whose two biggest target competitors are both off the roster • The tight end who led his position in fantasy points per route and still finished TE10 • The one thing veterans who beat their ADP kept having in common, and the counter-case against it • The veteran whose route share, not his ability, is the only thing holding him back • How to find a late-round running back who can actually take over a backfield Chapters: 0:00 Intro 1:01 1. Chase Brown, RB Bengals 6:57 2. DeVonta Smith, WR Eagles 10:49 The fantasy football bundle, code BUNDLE 12:57 3. Malik Willis, QB Dolphins 21:13 4. Justin Herbert, QB Chargers 26:54 5. Jaylen Waddle, WR Broncos 31:58 6. Christian Watson, WR Packers 36:43 7. Dalton Kincaid, TE Bills 42:42 8. D.J. Moore, WR Bills 50:55 Is Josh Allen worth the pick this year 54:03 9. Stefon Diggs, WR Commanders 1:01:07 10. Jordan Mason, RB Vikings 1:07:22 Wrap up Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p23yJHEL3AI Promo code BUNDLE gets the fantasy football bundle for $99 at Sharp Football Analysis. Today's Guest: JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. Last week on his channel they gave you the ten players they are avoiding. More Resources: Fantasy packages, the draft kit and the worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Late-Round Fantasy Football: https://lateround.com Rich Hribar on X: https://x.com/LordReebs JJ Zachariason on X: https://x.com/LateRoundQB Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
- 3 weeks ago31 min
College Football Win Totals: Best OVER/UNDER Picks for 2026
College football win totals and futures for the 2026 season — six win total bets across the Big 12, the ACC and the SEC, with every number, every price and the schedule spot that decides each one. Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football Warren Sharp is joined by Sharp Football college betting analyst Ryan McCrystal for six 2026 futures before Week Zero: Cincinnati under 5.5 wins, Virginia over 7.5, Georgia Tech under 6.5, Cal over 6.5, Ole Miss to miss the College Football Playoff, and the best bet of the show, LSU over 8.5 wins. What You'll Learn: • The quarterback change that decides Cincinnati's season, and why it is worth more than a win • How to read a Virginia schedule that did not get harder, and the NIL money behind the rest of the case • What happens to a Georgia Tech offense when the coordinator, the starter and the backup all leave in one offseason • Why Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele raises the floor at Cal, not just the ceiling • What a first-year head coach and a brutal five-game stretch mean for Ole Miss and the College Football Playoff • What Lane Kiffin built at LSU in the transfer portal, and how the schedule sets up • The difference between an 8.5-win total and a 9.5-win total, and why one game is worth so much Chapters: 0:00 Welcome 0:35 Six win totals with Ryan McCrystal 2:27 Cincinnati Bearcats 6:03 Virginia Cavaliers 10:36 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 14:59 20% off sitewide, code SHOW20 15:59 Cal Golden Bears 20:36 The odds, book by book 21:29 Ole Miss Rebels 25:31 LSU Tigers, the best bet of the show 27:09 Inside the LSU schedule 29:49 Why one win changes everything 30:13 The Friday betting show is back Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMitDmnuLXA Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis. More Resources: Betting packages, fantasy analysis, the draft kit and the 2026 Football Preview book: https://sharp.football Ryan McCrystal on X: https://x.com/Ryan_McCrystal Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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About Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp
Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!
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