Outside The Dollar

Jobs Fall 23,000: Gold's Next Move

August 7, 2026·11 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

U.S. employers lost 23,000 jobs in July 2026, a sharp miss against forecasts of 85,000 gains, exposing cracks in the labor market just as inflation pressure and AI valuation fears collide in August 2026. Elena Reyes examines Oracle's steep selloff and Larry Ellison's paper losses, questions claims that the AI trade is now far larger than the dot-com bubble, and unpacks ISM manufacturing data showing factory-floor cost pressure some call worse than the pandemic. She then turns to gold and silver, weighing Deutsche Bank's aggressive year-end gold target against historical drawdown risk and highlighting silver's dual investment-industrial demand. The discussion closes with why long-term positioning in precious metals may matter more than timing entry points. The episode references the July 2026 U.S. jobs report, the ISM manufacturing survey, and Deutsche Bank's gold price forecast from strategist Michael Hsueh.

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