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- 3 days ago6 min
Inflation Rises Again: Will the Fed Hike Rates? | Fed Watch
This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest inflation data and why April’s hotter-than-expected CPI and PPI reports are raising new concerns for businesses and policymakers alike. Lauren explains what persistent inflation means for margins, borrowing costs, and future Fed decisions as Kevin Warsh prepares to step into the Fed Chair role. Could the next move from the Federal Reserve actually be a rate hike instead of a cut? If your business is struggling with rising costs, shrinking margins, or uncertainty around capital investment decisions, this episode highlights the key economic signals you should be watching right now. Do you think the Fed’s next move will be to hold rates steady, cut, or raise them again? #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #Economy #FedWatch #BusinessStrategy #EconomicOutlook #LaurenSaidelBaker
- 1 weeks ago6 min
Why the National Debt Still Signals Trouble for the 2030s | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain revisits the long-term 2030 economic outlook and explains why rising national debt remains one of the biggest risks facing the US economy. With debt levels climbing, interest payments surging, and demographic pressures building, what does this mean for businesses trying to plan ahead? Taylor breaks down the key drivers behind ITR Economics’ 2030 forecast, including transfer payments, debt-to-GDP concerns, and the economic impact of an aging population. Most importantly, he shares why business leaders should start preparing now rather than waiting for warning signs later. For a deeper dive into ITR Economics’ 2030 forecast and preparation strategies, visit → https://itreconomics.com/2030s-great-depression/
- 1 weeks ago4 min
Fed Officials Are Sounding the Inflation Alarm Again | Fed Watch
This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the growing divide inside the Federal Reserve as more officials begin raising concerns about persistent inflation and the future of rate cuts. Lauren explains why recent inflation pressures may be more structural than temporary, how Middle East conflict is impacting oil prices and supply chains, and what weakening consumer trends could mean for the broader economy moving forward.
- 2 weeks ago6 min
Population Shifts Are Changing Business Opportunities in 2025 | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain breaks down the latest 2025 population growth data and what it means for business strategy. As migration trends shift and previously declining states rebound, where should you be focusing your expansion efforts? Understanding where people are moving is critical in today’s tight labor market and evolving economic landscape. Are you positioned where demand is growing? 🔗 Register here for our "Winning US States for the 2030s" Executive Series Webinar → https://hubs.ly/Q04dnhxM0
- 2 weeks ago7 min
FW 5.1.26 Audio
This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down a major leadership transition at the Federal Reserve and what it could mean for policy direction in the months ahead. With Jerome Powell stepping down as Chair but remaining on the Board, questions around influence and continuity are front and center. She also examines the latest GDP data, highlighting the growing role of AI-driven business investment, and explains why inflation remains more persistent than many expected. If you are trying to understand where the economy is headed and what risks could impact your planning, this episode offers key insights without the noise. Could a leadership shift at the Fed quietly reshape monetary policy? And what does stubborn inflation mean for your business strategy?
- 3 weeks ago6 min
Why Supply Chain Pressure Is Increasing and What It Means for You | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain breaks down the return of global supply chain pressure and what it means for businesses heading into 2026. As geopolitical tensions disrupt key trade routes and demand continues to grow, many companies risk being caught off guard by longer lead times and rising uncertainty. What does the latest data say about where supply chains are headed and how should your business prepare? Tune in for key insights and forward-looking analysis.
- 3 weeks ago7 min
Retail Sales Surprise and Fed Leadership Uncertainty | Fed Watch
This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest retail sales data and what it reveals about consumer resilience despite rising energy costs. With gasoline prices surging, many businesses are questioning whether demand can hold and how long margin pressure may persist. Lauren also examines growing political tensions surrounding the Federal Reserve, including leadership transition uncertainty and what it could mean for future interest rate direction. As confirmation battles unfold, businesses are left navigating an increasingly unclear policy environment. 🔔 UPDATE: Since taping this episode, the Justice Department has dropped its criminal probe into Chair Jerome Powell. US Attorney Jeanine Pirro announced that the Fed’s inspector general will instead review cost overruns tied to recent building renovations. This development removes a key hurdle in Kevin Warsh’s confirmation process, as discussed in this episode. If you are planning for the second half of the year, understanding the balance between pricing pressure and consumer demand is critical. Don’t miss our upcoming webinar on state-by-state opportunities and US Consumer trends. Save your seat today → https://itrondemand.com/store/product/winning-states-2030s
- 4 weeks ago9 min
Strong Revenue Growth May Not Mean Strong Profits | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain is joined by fellow Economist Tara Bayke to break down the growing risk of “profitless prosperity.” As the economy expands through 2026 and beyond, many businesses may see rising revenues but shrinking margins due to persistent cost pressures. From surging material and energy costs to labor challenges and AI investment, where should leaders focus to protect profitability? And what role will the Federal Reserve play as inflation pressures continue? Tune in for a timely discussion on how to prepare for growth while safeguarding your bottom line. Are you ready to grow profitably in the years ahead? Trends Report Free Preview → https://hubs.la/Q03ybVV00 Trends Report Free Trial → https://itrondemand.com/store/product/trendsreport-free-trial
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About ITR Economics
ITR Economics delivers data-driven economic insight that helps leaders cut through the media noise, anticipate change, and make confident decisions. Our conversations translate complex trends, policy shifts, and market dynamics into clear, actionable guidance grounded in objective analysis and long-term forecasting. Designed for executives and decision-makers, our content clarifies what’s happening now and what’s coming next, so that you can better prepare your business strategy. Tune in today.
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