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The Family History AI Show

EP38: 2025 Year in Review, A Look Back at Our 2025 AI Predictions, The Reasoning Revolution

December 8, 2025·56 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

Co-hosts Mark Thompson and Steve Little present a special year-end episode, comparing their 2025 AI predictions to what actually unfolded in 2025. This episode is a great review of the top AI advancements in 2025!The hosts examine which predictions hit the mark, including the agentic AI hype cycle, plummeting AI costs driven by DeepSeek, and the dethroning of OpenAI as the top AI model. They also explore predictions that proved partially accurate, such as the shift to local language models and the adoption of AI in social media.Mark and Steve have a good laugh over their biggest misses, including breakthroughs in text-in-image generation, image restoration, and vibe coding. They highlight how reasoning models were the transformative force behind nearly every major AI advancement in 2025.The episode closes with a preview of next week's 2026 predictions episode.Timestamps:03:30 Agents, Agents, Everywhere: Deep Research and Agentic Browsers09:49 Cost of AI Drops Like a Rock: DeepSeek Disrupts the Market12:26 OpenAI Dethroned: Gemini and Anthropic Rise18:46 Local Language Models23:54 AI Invades Social Media28:24 AI-Enhanced Writing: From Grammar Checking to Ghost Writers32:30 Family Tree Diagrams: Possible But Not Practical36:03 Handwriting Recognition: Reasoning Improves Results38:01 Reasoning Models: 2025’s Most Important Advancement41:31 Text in Images: A Solved Problem45:05 Image Restoration: Breakthroughs and Responsibilities51:02 Vibe Coding: Speaking Software Into BeingResource Links:Register for a Class with the Family History AI Show Academyhttps://tixoom.app/fhaishowAgentic AIAgentic AI In-Depth Report 2025https://hblabgroup.com/agentic-ai-in-depth-report/Perplexity's New AI-First Browser Kicks Off Agentic Applicationshttps://www.forbes.com/sites/stevenwolfepereira/2025/07/11/perplexitys-new-ai-first-browser-is-kicking-off-agentic-applications/Cost of AIState of AI in 10 Chartshttps://hai.stanford.edu/news/ai-index-2025-state-of-ai-in-10-chartsFree AI Tools 2025https://thehumanprompts.com/free-ai-tools-2025-platforms/OpenAI DethronedGeoffrey Hinton says Google is 'beginning to overtake' OpenAIhttps://www.businessinsider.com/ai-godfather-geoffrey-hinton-google-overtaking-openai-2025-12Local AI HardwareAssessing the On-Device Artificial Intelligence (AI) Opportunityhttps://www.qualcomm.com/content/dam/qcomm-martech/dm-assets/documents/assessing-the-on-device-ai-opportunity.pdfFamily Tree DiagramsExplore how powerful AI image editing can support advanced creative workflows.https://deepmind.google/models/gemini-image/pro/Text in ImagesNano Banana Pro Review: Is Google's AI Image Generator Too Good?https://www.cnet.com/tech/services-and-software/google-nano-banana-pro-ai-image-generator-review/Vibe CodingNo code, big dreamshttps://www.businessinsider.com/non-technical-people-vibecoding-lessons-ai-apps-2025-9Image RestorationResponsible AI Photo Restorationhttps://makingfamilyhistory.com/responsible-ai-photo-restoration/Protecting Trust in Historical Imageshttps://craigen.org/protecting-trust-in-historical-images/Tags:Artificial Intelligence, Genealogy, Family History, AI Predictions, Reasoning Models, DeepSeek, Gemini, Image Restoration, Vibe Coding, Agentic AI

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