544 :: Should You Trust Your Gut If You're Trying to Make Better Decisions Fast?

From Stephen Hawking's famous "turtles all the way down" to Ptolemy's epicycles, history is full of examples of people defending flawed assumptions. Bradley explores how leaders do the same thing today and shares a simple 5-step framework to improve forecasting, decision-making, and leadership effectiveness. In this episode you will Learn the simple 5-step prediction model that helps leaders improve decision-making and reduce blind spots. Discover why attaching probabilities and deadlines to predictions dramatically improves learning and accountability. Understand how hidden assumptions ("epicycles") can limit business performance and what to do about them. Listen now to learn a practical framework that will help you challenge assumptions, sharpen your judgment, and make better leadership decisions in an uncertain world. Download the 5-Step Prediction Model Download the Better Decisions App At Bradley Hartmann & Company, we help construction teams improve sales, leadership,  and communication by reducing miscommunication, strengthening teamwork, and bridging language gaps between English and Spanish speakers. To learn more about our product offerings, visit bradleyhartmannandco.com. The Construction Leadership Podcast dives into essential leadership topics in construction, including strategy, emotional intelligence, communication skills, confidence, innovation, and effective decision-making. You'll also gain insights into delegation, cultural intelligence, goal setting, team building, employee engagement, and how to overcome common culture problems—whether you're leading a crew or managing an entire organization. Have topic ideas or guest recommendations? Contact us at info@bradleyhartmannandco.com. New podcasts are dropped every Tuesday and Thursday.   This episode is brought to you by The Construction Spanish Toolbox —the most practical way for construction teams to learn jobsite-ready Spanish in just minutes a day over 6 months.