Best Bets For Texas Vs Ohio State/ Best Bets 2 LIVE CALL IN SHOW

TexasVOCFB Best Bets — Texas vs Ohio State Best Bets 2 LIVE CALL-IN SHOW Hosts: Matthew Miller & Thomas “Tommy” Bresee Sponsor: FanDuel Show open: ~00:00 Last Week’s Record Tommy: 4-1 (argues Derek Cooper injury cost him a 5-0; “would have gotten in the end zone”) Matthew: 3-1 Consensus: Week 1 was easier to read. This week is about winning the game, not scheme tells. Host Bets 1. Tommy — Texas 1H −1.5 (~00:50) Sark has said all week Texas has not started fast vs Georgia/Ohio State and has played from behind. OSU (Arthur Smith) will feel out Will Muschamp early; Texas has more urgency. Expect a lower-scoring first half that opens later. Score lean: 14–10 or 13–10 at half. Matthew agrees: first quarter / quarter-and-a-half is feel-out time. Texas should jump it. 2. Matthew — Emmett Mosley over 34.5 rec yds (~01:55) Coleman and Wingo will be the keys. Matchup: Mosley vs freshman Jay Timmons is one of the few mismatches. Mosley was underused vs Texas State. Also likes Nick Townsend / TEs (Spencer Shannon shout). Tommy: almost a must-hit. Attention on the outside forces the middle. Lean 35+ receiving. 3. Tommy — Texas team rush over 103.5 (FanDuel ~114) (~03:27) Opened 99.5 earlier; still likes it barely over. Won’t look pretty (Texas State spit-and-sputter), but Sark has to stay on the run. Expect 20-yard bursts from Hollywood Smothers, Relique Brown, and Arch. Avoid sacks and they land 115–120. Matthew: Texas went over this vs OSU last year and should have stuck with it. Combined rush vs Georgia in those three games likely didn’t even hit this number. Between-the-tackles was dead Week 1; stretch zone, read option, Wingo end-around should work better. Matthew add-on: If they hit this number, they win pretty easily. 4. Matthew — Hollywood Smothers over 38.5 rush yds (~05:40) Surprised the number is that low. Needs 75–95 total yards (rush + rec). Projects 45–55 rushing plus checkdowns. Tommy: two or three one-on-one vs safety/corner = explosives for Smothers and Brown. Expected closer to 50. Market still figuring the Smothers/Brown split after Week 1. 5. Tommy — Arch Manning over 1.5 passing TDs (~07:15) Run game and red zone not fully fixed. Scored on 6-of-7 red-zone trips Week 1; hard to repeat without Arch’s arm. One chunk to Wingo/Coleman, one goal-line (Coleman, TE, or touch pass like last week). Slow start, then two passing TDs down the stretch. Matthew: Arch probably needs 3 total TDs (any mix of pass/rush) for Texas to win. 6. Tommy — Cam Coleman anytime TD (~08:40) That’s why they paid him. Hunt Devin Sanchez (future 1st-rounder, but early for this caliber). Even if he’s not wide open, they will keep throwing it. Could also be a decoy to move the safety and hit Wingo/Mosley opposite. Matthew: Have to feed No. 1. Same logic as OSU forcing Jeremiah Smith. Shared bet — Arch over 27.5 rush yds (~11:50) Both on it. One 20–25 yard scramble plus a few 5–10 yard keepers. Sacks are the risk; OSU has pocket-collapsers, not a Dylan Stewart/Colin Simmons-level edge. Need designed QB runs (power from gun — Josh Allen comp), read option early to freeze Kenyatta Jackson and the edges. Last year: first-half Arch stayed in the pocket and Texas struggled; third/fourth quarter when he created, they moved. More confident now. NFL-style lock if sacks stay short. Jeremiah Smith / Coverage Chess (~09:59) Tommy: Smith could match his career Texas receiving yards in the first half alone. In OSU’s few losses the last 3 years, Smith still went 100+ and scored — everyone else disappeared. Two paths: Key No. 4 or he wrecks you. Let Smith be Smith (120 and a score) and erase Devin McEwen / Chris Henry Jr. / the supporting cast. Matthew: Texas tried doubling Smith twice and got killed by Carnell Tate / Emeka Egbuka. This supporting cast is not that. Fine starting doubled and adjusting. Question of the night: can McEwen do what Tate/Egbuka did? Depth / Usage Notes (~13:57) Derek Cooper out (ankle). Interested in Michael Terry, James Simon (bigger, short-yardage), Nick Townsend, Jermaine Bishop. Bishop: one catch could be 60 and a score. Need more diverse run game: Wingo/Bishop end-arounds, not just Smothers/Brown on 3rd-and-3 inside. Last year’s dagger: Arch pick. Can he stay clean? Other Game: Michigan vs Oklahoma (~15:47) Line swing: Michigan −4.5 pre-Week 1 → Michigan −2 after kickoff → Oklahoma −5.5/−6.5 now. 8–9 point Vegas move. Tommy: Aggressive, but Michigan cannot play that poorly again. Whittingham / Jay Hill t