Suburb Data with Damien & Jeremy

EBS 29: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful | Was Buffett Right for Property?

September 16, 2026·21 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

Episode 29 challenges the way property experts apply Warren Buffett’s famous advice to “be greedy when others are fearful.” Using more than a decade of online search data and decades of historical price movements, we test whether buying into fearful property markets actually produces stronger future growth. The results show the opposite pattern, with markets displaying stronger buyer demand and positive momentum generally delivering better growth over the years that follow. The episode also explains why property behaves differently to shares, including the dominance of owner occupiers, slower transaction speeds and significantly higher entry and exit costs. The takeaway is simple. In Australian property, fear is not automatically an opportunity. The better strategy is to recognise where demand exceeds supply and buy into a seller’s market rather than assuming falling prices are a bargain. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:53 - Share investing vs property investing 02:59 - Measuring fear & greed 03:34 - Online search interest 05:10 - Online search interest vs 3-year growth 07:31 - 1-year price growth vs next 3-years growth rate 11:36 - 1-year growth vs next 5-years growth rate 12:34 - Examples 16:42 - More problems 20:13 - Conclusion ============================================================= Got questions or feedback? Email us: PODCAST (AT) SUBURBDATA.COM.AU ============================================================= Viewer Favourites 👉 Q&A with Jeremy Sheppard: Entering/Exiting Markets, Buyers Agents, Suburb Selection and More - https://youtu.be/nrxq5l2MIuw 👉 How to Analyse a Property Market - https://youtu.be/TMgvL07LzXs 👉 DSR Success Rate - https://youtu.be/tSBtiD1BLqo 👉 Demand to Supply Ratio Tutorials - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGi7zCG37dRhAxXows2SZw7- ============================================================= DISCLAIMER: Please be aware that the content presented in this video is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. • The information provided is not tailored to your individual circumstances, and we do not consider your specific financial situation. • It is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any financial decisions based on the content of this video, as we have neither offered nor provided legal, financial, or taxation advice to the Listener, Reader, or Viewer. • We do not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence as defined by section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and are not authorised to provide financial services. • Any actions taken by viewers based on the information in this video are at their own risk.

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