Straight Outta Vegas AM

What I Bet - Wednesday July 29th

July 29, 2026·21 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

Griffin Warner talks betting for Wednesday. On episode 73 of What I Bet, Griffin Warner runs through the entire July 29 Major League Baseball card before landing on his best bet of the night, opening with a check on his previous pick, Detroit on the money line at minus 130, while noting his recent form of four and two over his last six selections, eight and four over his last twelve, ten and five over his last fifteen, and thirteen and seven over his last twenty. He works methodically through the slate, starting with Jesus Luzardo and the Phillies visiting Ryan Gusto and a Marlins club fresh off a stunning comeback win, then moves into a genuine Wild Card scrap between Eduardo Rodriguez and the Diamondbacks and Jared Jones and the Pirates, a Blue Jays trip to face Zack Littell and the Nationals, and the opener of a Braves Mets doubleheader featuring AJ Smith-Shawver's return from elbow surgery against Sean Manaea. Warner covers Trevor Rogers and the Orioles taking on a Tigers club leaning on Tarik Skubal, a low scoring look at Shane Drohan and the Brewers against Logan Webb and the Giants, a Rangers trip to face a Rays bullpen game fronted by Casey Legumina, and Joey Cantillo pitching for the Guardians against a surging Cincinnati offense behind Brady Singer. He previews the Braves Mets doubleheader nightcap between Chris Sale and Christian Scott, a Yankees White Sox matchup pitting Cam Schlittler against Davis Martin, a Royals Twins game with Randy Dobnak on the mound for Kansas City, Matthew Boyd and the Cubs visiting Dustin May and the Cardinals, Hayden Wesneski's 2026 debut for Houston against Grayson Rodriguez and the Angels, Patrick Sandoval and the Red Sox against Jacob Lopez and the Athletics, and closes the card with a marquee matchup between Emerson Hancock and the Mariners against Eric Lauer and the Dodgers. Throughout, Warner breaks down current moneylines, run totals, and juice on both sides, weighs bullpen strength and recent form, and flags which underdogs he believes are priced fairly and which are not. He shares a Pregame.com promotional code, HIT50, that saves fifty dollars on his Major League Baseball second half all access package covering every pick through the World Series, bringing the regular 349 dollar price down to 299 dollars through August 10, while noting he is plus 23.92 MLB units on the season with a goal of doubling that total. Warner closes the show with his official best bet for the episode, the under seven and a half runs in game two of the Braves Mets doubleheader, built around Chris Sale on the mound for Atlanta against Christian Scott for New York, explaining that he leans toward the under nearly every time Sale pitches and does not fully trust a recent Mets offensive uptick against a true ace working on a turnaround between games. It is a comprehensive, game by game breakdown of a packed Wednesday slate from one of the more consistent voices in the sports betting podcast space, capping a stretch in which Warner has gone thirteen and seven over his last twenty selections while building toward a season long goal of forty units won. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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