With the Trump-Xi summit approaching, former CIA senior China analyst Chris Johnson joins “Intel at the Edge” to give an unvarnished assessment of Beijing's priorities, Xi Jinping's mindset, and how China is navigating an increasingly unpredictable America. Chris draws on over two decades in the US intelligence and foreign affairs communities to explain what Xi really wants from this summit, how the rare earth standoff reshaped the bilateral relationship, and why China's long-term focus is breaking America's technological chokehold — not winning a diplomatic photo op. 00:00 - Introduction & Guest Bio 01:35 - How Important Is the Summit to Xi Jinping? 03:17 - Xi's Real Goal: Stability Over Diplomacy 04:41 - How Beijing Is Briefing Xi on Trump 05:01 - Xi's Gamble: The Rare Earth Sword & Staring Trump Down 06:07 - The Other Side: US Hegemonism Is on the Prowl 07:13 - The Wounded Animal: How Beijing Reads America Right Now 07:37 - Xi's Play: Buy Trump Off & Wait Him Out 20:10 - What Xi Will Put on the Table on Taiwan 21:18 - Xi's Real Priority: Breaking the Semiconductor Chokehold 26:14 - Summit Timing & Xi's Return Visit Window 27:02 - The Atmospherics: How China Stages These Meetings 28:20 - Trump Treats Xi as an Equal — And Xi Knows It 28:40 - "Trump Sees Xi as a Badass" 29:57 - How Confident Is Beijing About Winning the Long Game? 30:21 - Short Term Confident, Long Term Uncertain 31:22 - China's Real Problems: Demographics, Debt & the Economy 32:31 - What Keeps Xi Up at Night 32:53 - Closing Remarks Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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