Will Trump’s Iran War drag down the whole GOP? Tillis, Murkowski, Collins, Rand Paul break ranks.

The Iran war isn't just a foreign policy story anymore — it's the political story that's about to reshape 2026. Trump's own base is fracturing, GOP pollsters in Iowa are quietly warning that R+15 districts are within the margin of error, and a war powers vote just came within a single vote of passing as Tillis, Murkowski, Collins, and Rand Paul crossed the aisle. Meanwhile, John Fetterman lined up with the president. The rigged two-party system is showing its seams, and independents — now the largest voting bloc in America — are the ones deciding where this goes. Paul and the panel break down why this moment rhymes with 2006 (and maybe the late '70s), how gas and diesel prices are welding the war to kitchen-table economics, and why so many House Republicans in safe seats have never run a real general election in their lives. Plus: the dark money tsunami about to hit, the governors' races quietly slipping into play, and the four independent veteran Senate candidates — Tod Achilles, Dan Osborn, Seth Bodnar, and Bob Chew — running disciplined races against unpopular incumbents in both parties. If you want to understand the actual terrain of 2026, start here. -WATCH full video of this episode here. -Millions of American veterans are being locked out of primary elections in the country they served. See what we’re doing to change that. -Visit Kalshi and trade on anything. Use code INDEPENDENT to get $25 when you trade $25. -Head to cozyearth.com and use the code AMERICANS for an exclusive 20% off. -Join Noble Mobile today and get a $100 bonus when you use code PAUL and stay a member for 2 months! -Join IVA and help us get independent veterans elected to office. -Learn more about Paul’s work to elect a new generation of independent leaders with Independent Veterans of America. -Learn more about American Veterans for Ukraine here. -Remember Independent is an Attitude. -Learn more about The Headstrong Project for Veterans, Tragedy Assistance Program for Survivors (TAPS), and Department of Veterans Affairs resources in your area. Seeking support is not a sign of weakness. It’s a show of strength. If you or a loved one are in immediate crisis, dial 988 and press 1, or text 838255. Connect with Independent Americans: Subscribe on YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and all podcast platforms Read more at Substack Support ad-free episodes at Patreon  Connect: Instagram  • X/Twitter • BlueSky • Facebook  Follow on social: @PaulRieckhoff on X, Instagram, Threads, and Bluesky -J