Dan Niles: AI Won’t Kill Us—But Some AI Stocks Won’t Survive

Dan Niles doesn’t think AI wiping out humanity is a likely outcome—but he does think the technology could wipe out plenty of stocks. The Founder & Portfolio Manager of Niles Investment Management joins Amber Kanwar at a moment of peak AI anxiety to separate the existential fears from the very real investment risks. Niles believes AI is the biggest technological revolution since the internet and that agentic AI is still in its early stages, but he also sees warning signs in slowing AI spending growth, data-centre push-outs and increasingly aggressive assumptions about how long the boom can last.He also weighs in on the battle among the biggest names in AI, including Google, Meta and the frontier model companies, and explains why the next phase of the revolution could produce a very different group of winners and losers. Niles makes the case for Meta as an AI comeback story, explains why Nvidia may be in a different category from some of the more speculative AI infrastructure plays, and warns that investors shouldn’t assume every stock will simply bounce back if the market turns.In the mailbag, Niles tackles Snowflake (SNOW), Marvell Technology (MRVL), Celestica (CLS), Nebius Group (NBIS), Nvidia (NVDA), Amazon (AMZN) and SpaceX. He explains why he isn’t convinced Snowflake will escape AI disruption, why he prefers Marvell to Celestica, why the neo-clouds could be among the first casualties if AI spending slows, and how Amazon’s strength in robotics could reshape its long-term investment case. He also explains why, despite being a huge believer in Elon Musk and the future of space, valuation and cash flow make SpaceX difficult for him to own.In Pro Picks, one idea makes a return appearance: cash. Niles picked cash alongside Cisco Systems (CSCO), Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA) when he last appeared in May 2025, and this time he puts cash at the very top of his list as growing market risks make patience more valuable. He also likes Meta Platforms (META), where a lower valuation, improving AI models and new ways to monetize its AI spending have made the risk-reward more attractive. And he’s bullish on Apple (AAPL), where he believes product-focused leadership and the arrival of a foldable iPhone could finally spark a major new upgrade cycle next year. Niles also revisits Cisco, Microsoft and Nvidia from his past picks, including why Cisco’s position at the centre of networking infrastructure could continue to benefit as companies build out their own AI systems.Timestamps00:00 Trailer2:15 Intro 03:37 Dan Niles on AI Risk08:35 What Slower AI Spending Means for Semiconductors10:49 Is the AI Boom Turning Into a Bubble?13:58 Open-Source AI vs. Frontier Models16:27 The AI Shakeout: Who Will Survive?19:34 Why Dan Is Bearish on the Market21:01 Bonds, Debt, and the Risk of a Major Sell-Off28:14 Why Credit Markets Matter for Big Tech30:51 Dan Niles’ Changing View on Google35:55 ITM Mailbag: Snowflake stock (SNOW) and the Software Sector40:46 Marvell & Celestica (MRVL, CLS)45:50 Nebius & NVIDIA (NBIS, NVIDA)51:58 Is Amazon Still a Long-Term AI Play? (AMZN)54:23 Should You Buy the Dip in SpaceX? (SPCX)57:43 Past & Pro Picks: CASH, CSCO, NVDA,MSFT, META, AAPL 68:17 Closing Bell: Chess and Chinese DramasSponsorsThank you to our partners at ATB Financial. ATB Cormark Capital Markets is a leading North American investment firm providing holistic corporate and capital markets advice and full-service financial solutions. Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information.For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.Thank you to our partners at Hamilton ETFs. For more information visit https://hamiltonetfs.comAll the charts you’ll see today are sponsored by Wealthsimple Trade. The self-directed trading platform built for active traders in Canada. Learn more at  https://app.wealthsimple.com/74rd/83ftma8xSupport for this podcast is brought to you by EQB – the company behind EQ Bank, Canada’s Challenger Bank. For more information visit https://www.eqbank.ca/The Closing Bell is sponsored by The Haliburton Post House: private executive retreats in Ontario's Haliburton Highlands. Reserve your Fall 2026 or Spring 2027 dates at The Haliburton Post House. Mention In the Money for $1000 off your reservation! E-mailinfo@haliburtonposthouse.ca for more information. Linkshttps://inthemoneypod.com