Have oil markets prematurely priced in an Iranian supply comeback? That was the central question on today’s Daily Energy Markets. Mukesh Sahdev challenged the narrative of an impending supply surge, citing depleted regional inventories and the likelihood of renewed Chinese stockpiling. Niamh McBurney described the agreement as a major win for Iran while warning Israel remains the key spoiler. Bill Farren-Price doubted the political feasibility of full sanctions relief and suggested Middle East risk premiums are unlikely to disappear anytime soon.
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