Future Projection

Episode 220: Mailbag—How We Evaluate Prospect Risk

November 3, 2026·28 min
Episode Description from the Publisher

In today’s mailbag episode, Ben and Carlos answer listener questions about how we assess risk for prospects, how the degree of difficulty in scouting international prospects varies depending on the country, whether or not relief-only prospects with upside exist and the difficulty of spotting them, Nationals infielder Ronny Cruz and Pirates outfielder Derek Curiel. — Time stamps: (0:00) Intro (3:00) How we handle risk penalties for prospects (9:00) Is it harder to project international prospects from one country vs. another? (13:00) Are there any relief-only prospects with top 10 reliever upside? (19:00) Is Nationals infielder Ronny Cruz trending up? (22:00) Is Pirates outfielder Derek Curiel more likely to develop power or stick in center? — Do you have feedback for the show or want to ask us a question? Email us: futureprojection@baseballamerica.com. Future Projection Twitter: @FutureProPod Ben's Twitter: @BenBadler Carlos's Twitter: @CarlosACollazo Baseball America Website — You can preorder Baseball America’s 2027 books today. Get your 2027 Prospect Handbook, 2027 Almanac and 2027 Directory at the BA Store here.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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