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FiveStack with Dean Blundell & Zev Shalev: Daily Summaries Delivered
by D. Blundell and Z.Shalev
Top 5 Breaking News with Dean Blundell and Zev Shalev. www.narativ.org
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- Yesterday55 min
FiveStack LIVE: Trump Plans A New War Against Iran as Inflation Reaches 6.5%, Lutnick To Take The Fall For NVIDIA
Ellie Leonard joined Zev Shalev on Friday the 13th, and the two announced a new show.5️⃣ Epstein Petition Hits 218Thomas Massie's petition to force a second Epstein files vote passed 218 signatures, with every Democrat and four Republicans. Speaker Mike Johnson said Massie did it "for attention" and is "trying to cause chaos on the way out." Leonard said the bill would let survivors and Congress sue the Justice Department, but may shut out other lawsuits, such as journalists', and survivors who have not yet come forward. She said Rep. Jamie Raskin searched the full files for Trump's name and got about a million hits, against roughly 5,300 in the released files.4️⃣ The Circle Gets SmallerA woman giggled on the line before Trump came on C-SPAN's new primetime show. Leonard's guess: Natalie Harp. Stephen Miller now runs the White House, and Cabinet secretaries reach Trump only through him or Chamberlain Harris. Shalev expects Katie Miller, with no title, to shepherd the lobbyists while her husband controls access. Leonard: "It's the people with no titles who are the most dangerous."3️⃣ Zelensky's Two RoomsJared Kushner and Steve Witkoff sat with Putin in the Kremlin, then briefed Volodymyr Zelensky in Ireland. Shalev pointed to a clip of Zelensky turning the glasses on the table upside down. Shalev: "He looks like he's been kept hostage." Leonard: "Nobody's going to sit down and eat or drink anything with the Kremlin." Next week Trump meets Xi: "three against one," Shalev said.2️⃣ War Talk as Prices Hit 6.5%Israel's spy chief, Roman Gofman, was in Washington for talks on the Iran war, Axios reported, as Benjamin Netanyahu presses Trump to resume it. Wholesale prices rose 6.5% on the year, the most since 2022. When Joe Biden left office, the rate was 3.5%. Shalev warned of stagflation. Leonard's grocery test: two boxes of foil for $28.1️⃣ Lutnick Takes the FallTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC that four departments wanted Megaspeed blacklisted "for months. But Commerce has the pen." Shalev's read: Howard Lutnick is being set up to take the fall for Trump, who knows far more about the chips. But Lutnick "has a lot of dirt on the president." Leonard noted that Lutnick and Jeffrey Epstein shared a wall on 71st Street in New York for 20 years.OUR NEW SHOW “THE INVESTIGATORS” THE INVESTIGATORS, a new Narativ show with Shalev and Leonard, launches Wednesday at 1 p.m. ET. Congress is about to open hundreds of investigations, and the show will watch the investigators. Also: a heckler at the Majority Democrats' conference in Denver accused Hakeem Jeffries of taking private-equity money; Jeffries answered, "Remember, y'all, I grew up in Brooklyn." Leonard writes The Panicked Writer. Shalev thanked the week's fill-in co-hosts: Anne P. Mitchell, Lev Parnas, Wajahat Ali, Guy Kawasaki and Leonard.Thank you Uncomfortable Truth by Monica, Dani Smart, Cat: Poli-Psych, LC - Silence is Complicity, Marnie Screams Into the Void, and many others for tuning into my live video with Ellie Leonard! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.narativ.org/subscribe
- 2 days ago1h 1m
FiveStack LIVE: Lutnick on the Chopping Block; Nvidia's $25 Million Ballroom Ticket, Huang Out for Tim Cook?, Netanyahu's Sunday Cabinet and Trump Dumps the Iran Deal
Guy Kawasaki and Anne P. Mitchell joined Zev Shalev on Thursday, an hour after debuting their new show, “Seriously?”5️⃣ Nvidia's $25 Million Ballroom TicketNvidia gave $25 million to Trump's White House ballroom. Sen. Richard Blumenthal, the incoming chair of the Senate's Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, told MS NOW that 14 of the donor corporations got new or expanded contracts. Others got reduced regulations and possible merger approvals. "Nvidia obviously wanted more exports of chips to China," he said. He sees "more than enough circumstantial evidence of corruption to warrant this investigation." The Justice Department has warned him of prosecution for asking.4️⃣ Huang Out, Trump Picks Tim CookJensen Huang quit Nvidia over a woman U.S. intelligence suspects of spying for China. Her own husband introduced them. Trump floated Apple's Tim Cook to replace him. Kawasaki, who marketed the first Macintosh, had the plain read: "The simplest explanation is that basically men are stupid." His test: tell ChatGPT you plan an affair with a Chinese spy, ask it to be tough on you, and listen: "you probably would not be where you are today." On Cook: "I'm pretty sure Tim Cook thinks I wrote Rich Dad, Poor Dad."3️⃣ Netanyahu Calls His Cabinet for SundayBenjamin Netanyahu, now Israel's interim prime minister, will meet his security cabinet on Sunday, though his successor, Gadi Eisenkot, warned him in writing against "dangerous moves." Eisenkot has the Arab parties behind him for a new coalition. Shalev said Netanyahu and Trump had planned to strike Iran again after the American elections, and that he had been told Trump said he would not join this time. His advice: "everyone should be watching Israel and watching Iran."2️⃣ Trump Dumps the Iran DealTrump said Thursday he no longer needs a deal with Iran because "we've got their Strait." Shalev's answer: the U.S. holds part of the Strait of Hormuz, not all of it. He fears a strike in the coming days, and a lame-duck president needs no one's permission to order it.1️⃣ Lutnick on the Chopping BlockReuters reported that the White House is discussing pushing out Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. The New York Times found that Chinese firms Commerce cleared to buy Nvidia chips were empty offices with no signage. Lutnick's family firm holds a third of a Beijing venture with a Chinese state company. Our reading: Trump and Lutnick let the chips flow to firms tied to China's military, and the money came back through the ballroom and the family business. The panel called Lutnick the fall guy: the order to look the other way "wasn't just his own decision." Shalev doubts he goes quietly: "He has a lot of dirt about the president of the United States."Kawasaki on what the tech rich owe: "The first stage, you learn. The second stage, you earn. And in the third stage, you return." And: "There's no traffic on the high road." His Substack and podcast, Remarkable People, are under Guy Kawasaki and Anne P. Mitchell, Esq. writes Notes from the Front.Thank you Cat: Poli-Psych, LC - Silence is Complicity, LeftieProf, The Rebel Crone (Shālah), Lalisa, and many others for tuning into my live video with Anne P. Mitchell, Esq. and Guy Kawasaki! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.narativ.org/subscribe
- 3 days ago48 min
FiveStack LIVE: Some AIPAC Members Sat Out Hegseth Vote, Colom's 145-Year Historic Victory, Israel's New Deal, and Trump's Nvidia Trades
Wajahat Ali was back on Wednesday as a guest co-host.El-Sayed Beat the EstablishmentAbdul El-Sayed won Michigan's Senate seat after AIPAC and the Democratic establishment backed Rep. Haley Stevens. Ali called it a war on the establishment, fought with "open, blatant, naked, shameless" Islamophobia. He said Muslims and Arabs who usually sit out turned out for El-Sayed. On election night he told Democrats, "I want to hear you call out Israel's genocide." On Wednesday he said the blue wave was a repudiation of MAGA, not a realignment: "This is a rental."5️⃣ Colom Could Be Mississippi's First Black Senator Since 1881Scott Colom, a 43-year-old district attorney, leads Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith by about 3,000 votes, the AP reported. WJTV has him at 468,163 to 465,530. Hinds County accepted 817 affidavit ballots and rejected 1,609, the Mississippi Free Press reported. Colom said the lead will be "insurmountable" once those ballots are counted. Republicans redrew the maps to cut Black representation, and he is still winning. Ali: "Call the race. He won."4️⃣ A New Israel Takes PowerGadi Eisenkot's bloc took control of the Knesset 63 to 50 on the votes of the Arab parties. Arab turnout reached about 77%, up from 53% in 2022. Netanyahu's rigging claim has been ruled out. Eisenkot wrote to Netanyahu urging him to "exercise restraint and caution." A day earlier, Netanyahu and Trump clashed by phone over Iran; one source called it "a shouting match from hell." The test now is whether Eisenkot gives the Arab parties a seat at the table, not just their votes.3️⃣ AIPAC's Members Sat Out the Hegseth VoteThe House voted 211 to 204 on Tuesday to send the Hegseth impeachment articles to committee. Eighteen members did not vote. Our own investigation of federal filings found 15 of them took AIPAC money, including nine of the 11 Democrats. With the 11 voting no, the motion fails 211 to 215. Three blamed a motorcade traffic jam. Stevens missed every vote that evening; AIPAC's super PAC spent $10.5 million on her Senate race. Ali called it "incompetence and chaos."2️⃣ Garcia Answers the White HouseWhite House Counsel Will Scharf wrote Rep. Robert Garcia, the incoming Oversight chairman, that Democratic subpoenas "may cross the line into blatant criminality." The letter cites no criminal statute. Garcia called it "clearly a threat" and said, "We're not bending the knee to anyone." The letter went to Garcia, not Hakeem Jeffries.1️⃣ Trump's Accounts Bought Nvidia After the Spy WarningsTrump's ethics filings show his accounts trading Nvidia while his government was warned about a suspected Chinese spy close to its chief, Jensen Huang. The accounts bought five times in April while a classified memo on Huang circulated, and again the day after Commerce cleared about 10 Chinese buyers for Nvidia's chips. Ali: "When did Donald Trump know? What did he know?" He wants a hearing.Ali's last word: "The first phase was to crush MAGA. The second phase is to hold all these people accountable." His show is THE LEFT HOOK with Wajahat Ali.**Sources:** AP · WJTV · Mississippi Free Press · Times of Israel · Ynet · House Roll Call 317 · FEC · Scharf letter · Politico · OGE Form 278-T · Axios · CBS NewsThank you Cat: Poli-Psych, Elaine Cimino, Your Mind Matters, PJ Schuster, Jeanne Elbe, and many others for tuning into my live video with THE LEFT HOOK with Wajahat Ali! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.narativ.org/subscribe
- 4 days ago57 min
FiveStack LIVE: Trump Bought Nvidia Shares After Spy Briefing, and Pete Hegseth Says His Impeachment Is Sabotage
Today’s FiveStack is brought to you by GroundNews — FiveStack viewers get 40% off their Vantage plan.Zev Shalev went solo on Tuesday, opening on House Oversight's Epstein report and closing with where Dean Blundell has gone.Today's FiveStack is brought to you by Ground News. Ground News shows you every side of a story, and the stories each side won't cover. FiveStack viewers get 40% off.🔴 Breaking: The Comer Report Leaves Out the SpyingHouse Oversight Chairman James Comer's staff released a 137-page report on the Epstein and Maxwell investigations. It says Epstein's crimes after 2005 "could have been prevented," and that guards missed at least 12 rounds the night he died. It reduces Epstein to a man running a sex ring. The report never uses the word "espionage," never mentions Bear Stearns or the 2008 crash, and gives his intelligence ties one paragraph, calling them "disputed." It says the committee "did not identify any documents" implicating Trump, and it does not ask who removed pages from the Epstein files.5️⃣ Hegseth Calls It SabotageDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth held his first Pentagon news conference since May: "This is not patriotism. This is sabotage." Speaker Mike Johnson promised to defeat Rep. Thomas Massie's eight articles "one way or the other." Hegseth fought back, and voters like a fighter. The articles are political, the war-crimes charges sit in blurry territory, and the strongest case, Iran, is the one Democrats left Massie to argue alone.4️⃣ Trump Was Briefed, Allowed the Sales, Then His Accounts Bought NvidiaTrump vouched for Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang from the briefing room, with Dana White beside him: "I really believe him." The New York Times reported that Trump was told in October 2025 that Alice Huang, an executive at Megaspeed, a Singapore buyer of Nvidia chips, was presumed to be a Chinese spy. On Dec. 8, he allowed H200 sales to China. On Jan. 6, his accounts bought $500,001 to $1 million of Nvidia stock. Seven days later, Commerce eased the H200 licenses. Nvidia also pledged $25 million to Trump's ballroom and asked to stay anonymous. The Trump Organization says outside firms manage his investments.3️⃣ Wiles's Old Firm Made $186 MillionBallard Partners, where Susie Wiles was managing partner, made about $18 million a year for eight years. With Wiles as chief of staff, it reported $88 million in 2025 and $98 million through September. Rep. Robert Garcia, the incoming Oversight chair, says the allegations "should be investigated." Stephen Miller replaces Wiles, and his wife, Katie Miller, has worked for Elon Musk.2️⃣ "Dear Joe"The letter Donald Trump left Joe Biden in the Resolute Desk, two weeks after the insurrection: "You now have the opportunity to choose your place in history." It is gracious and polished. It doesn't sound like Donald Trump.1️⃣ Kushner and Witkoff Carry Moscow's TermsJared Kushner and Steve Witkoff sat with Russia and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi. Zelenskyy says the U.S. asked Kyiv to "trade the Donbas for security." The plan offers security guarantees to both sides, treating the invader and the invaded as equals. Putin will not stop at the Donbas.Dean: Dean Blundell has left FiveStack for another project. The show continues at 3 p.m. ET, with guests and some days solo.Sources: House Oversight majority staff report, Nov. 10 · New York Times · CBS News · CNN · Reuters · Bureau of Industry and Security, Jan. 13, 2026 · disclosed trades (Quiver) · Washington Post · OpenSecrets · APFiveStack with Zev Shalev: the five biggest stories of the day, counted down live. Know Sooner: narativ.orgToday’s FiveStack is brought to you by GroundNews — FiveStack viewers get 40% off their Vantage plan.Sources: House Oversight majority staff report, Nov. 10 · New York Times · CBS News · CNN · Reuters · Bureau of Industry and Security, Jan. 13, 2026 · disclosed trades (Quiver) · Washington Post · OpenSecrets · APThank you Uncomfortable Truth by Monica, Anne P. Mitchell, Esq., LC - Silence is Complicity, John Mahoney, Noble Blend, and many others for tuning into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit <a href="
- 5 days ago1h 12m
FiveStack LIVE: Impeaching Pete Hegseth, Trump’s 60 Min Makeover, NVIDIA Chinese Spy, AOC 2028, Wiles Corruption
Lev Parnas and Anne P. Mitchell joined Zev Shalev on Monday while Rep. Thomas Massie read articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on the House floor.5️⃣ Trump Sells a Softer Self, Keeps the HateTrump told Ross Douthat on 60 Minutes his deportation policy "might be too tough," and in the same hour: "I do hate some of my enemies." Shalev called it good cop, bad cop: Trump sounds conciliatory while Attorney General Todd Blanche threatens Democrats with investigations. Parnas said Trump looked stunned by the midterm results and handed the reins to Stephen Miller hours after the interview. Mitchell said narcissists believe their own words, "because they don't think they're lying."4️⃣ Draft Launches to Put AOC in the 2028 RaceA group launched Monday to draft Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez into the 2028 race. It wants 10,000 local leaders and a million signatures. Mitchell said Tuesday's results left her less sure the country is not ready for a woman president. Parnas said 2028 talk splits the base now. The job now is making the new Congress deliver; about 50 new members won without super PAC money.3️⃣ Trump Backs Huang After the Spy AffairNvidia CEO Jensen Huang told his staff he had been unfaithful to his wife with a woman U.S. intelligence found was recruited by China's top spy agency. Trump called him "an honorable guy." Trump, briefed on her a year ago, later bought up to $1.6 million of Nvidia stock. Nvidia's board said it has "no reason to believe that either national security or NVIDIA secrets were compromised." Mitchell, a former California litigator, said a divorce would open discovery into the mistress.2️⃣ Katie Wiles Tapes Reach CongressOn the Katie Wiles tapes Narativ reported with Klix.ba, she asks her firm to scrub a draft's metadata "because somebody will look for who made the edit," and to have "that tweet sort of ready" before Trump's diesel deal with Putin. Parnas said Oversight and Judiciary know, and Rudy Giuliani met Milorad Dodik first, before Rod Blagojevich got his contract. Republika Srpska's taxpayers paid more than $9 million to the lobbyists around Trump.1️⃣ Massie Forces the Hegseth Vote by WednesdayMassie read for the better part of an hour. The articles quote the Signal chat on Operation Rough Rider, where JD Vance wrote "there is a strong argument for delaying a month." Trump, asked if he has confidence in Hegseth: "I do," and of Venezuela, "We won that war in less than one hour." Parnas said four to six Republicans are ready to break with Trump, and that Congress should act now, not wait for January.Bonus: Parnas reported that Jared Kushner, Kirill Dmitriev and Steve Witkoff are preparing a worldwide peace plan with security guarantees for Russia, not Ukraine, for trilateral talks within days. Next week he takes a different fight to Washington: whistleblower protection, before Stephen Miller turns the Justice Department on journalists' sources.Thank you Uncomfortable Truth by Monica, LC - Silence is Complicity, Robin Payes, LeftieProf, Grace Alexandra Hayden, and many others for tuning into my live video with Anne P. Mitchell, Esq.! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.narativ.org/subscribe
- 1 weeks ago1h 39m
BLUENAMI! Democrats Take the Senate as Graham, Paxton and Marshall Go Under
Democrats took the Senate on Tuesday night. Decision Desk HQ called six Republican seats for them between 9:56 p.m. and 1 a.m. Eastern; they needed four. Here is the round-up as the count stood at 2:40 a.m. Wednesday, race by race, with the caller and the time on every call.The SenateThe first wave hit South Carolina at 9:56. Decision Desk called the race for Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, over Senator Darline Graham, 51 to 47 at 82 percent in. Graham had been appointed to her late brother Lindsey’s seat and carried Trump’s endorsement into a state he won by 18 points. Andrews finished 51.2 to 46.8.James Talarico beat Ken Paxton in Texas at 10:16, 55 to 43 at the call, 54 to 44 at the last count. Texas last sent a Democrat to the Senate in 1988.Hamilton beat Roger Marshall in Kansas at 10:50, 51 to 46 at the final count. Republicans had held that seat since 1932.Sherrod Brown beat Jon Husted in Ohio at 11:16, 49.6 to 45.6 with 84 percent in, and took back the seat he lost two years ago.Turek beat Ashley Hinson in Iowa at 11:19, 50.5 to 46.4 with every precinct in.After midnight Decision Desk called Maine for Jackson over Susan Collins, 53 to 45 on the early count, and Michigan for El-Sayed over Mike Rogers, 52 to 46. Michigan was a Democratic seat; Maine was the sixth flip.The wave stopped at the Nebraska line. Pete Ricketts held off the independent Dan Osborn, 49.5 to 44.6, called with 65 percent in. In Alaska, Dan Sullivan led Mary Peltola 48.8 to 47.5 with 69 percent counted, uncalled, after Peltola had led the first batch.The arithmetic: 34 Democratic-aligned senators were not on the ballot. Add the seats they defended and the six they took, and the caucus stands at 53 with Alaska open. Fifty-one controls the chamber.The HouseSeven Republican-held seats on Narativ’s watch list went Democratic, and none went the other way. Dandiya took Florida’s 22nd at 8:07, the first toss-up called all night. Ager took North Carolina’s 11th at 8:30. Cognetti beat Rep. Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th at 9:02. Pulido beat Rep. Monica De La Cruz in Texas’s 15th at 11:00. Poindexter beat Rep. Max Miller in Ohio’s 7th at 11:17. James took Iowa’s 2nd at 11:35. Harvie beat Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick in Pennsylvania’s 1st after midnight. Garcia held Texas’s 35th for the Democrats.Two watch-list seats stayed open at 2:40: Maine’s 2nd, where Dunlap led Paul LePage by half a point before the ranked-choice count, and New York’s 17th, where Conley led Rep. Mike Lawler 52 to 48 on the first numbers. Decision Desk had not put a number on the full House. Two hundred eighteen is the majority, and the count runs into Wednesday.The governorsDemocrats took six. Keisha Lance Bottoms won Georgia at 9:15. Rob Sand won Iowa at 9:58. Katie Hobbs beat Andy Biggs in Arizona at 10:13. David Crowley beat Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin at 10:21. Amy Acton beat Vivek Ramaswamy in Ohio at 10:31, the first Democrat to win the office since 2006. Hinojosa beat Greg Abbott in Texas at midnight, and Abbott conceded.Republicans held three. Byron Donalds won Florida by half a point, 50.0 to 48.7 at the full count. Wilson held South Carolina. Kelly Ayotte held New Hampshire. Kansas sat at half a point for Holscher with every precinct in, uncalled; Alaska’s Kreiss-Tomkins led by 20 with the count unfinished; Nevada had not posted.The money linePolymarket priced the Senate at 76 cents Democratic at 5 p.m. and 99 cents by midnight; the House went from 94 to 99. Those are prices, not calls, and Narativ read them on air as prices.What we said, against what the count saysOn air Narativ said 255 House seats and 55 senators. The Senate stands at 53 with Alaska leaning Republican, so 55 is out of reach and 53 or 54 is the range. The House forecasters had 239 to 242 going in; the market at midnight priced Republicans below 190 seats at 99 cents, which means 246 or more for Democrats. The count decides it.Trump’s night, in his own wordsHe changed his account four times before 1 a.m. On Truth Social, before the West Coast closed: he was not on the ballot, and if he had been, Republicans “would have won in a landslide.” As the calls landed: the candidates were at fault, one was a “RINO,” and Fox News shared the blame for putting Democrats on air. To The New York Times: “I am absolutely willing to accept those results.” On Fox, after midnight: “I think a part of it was Iran.” His last post of the night: “...AND SO IT BEGINS!”What Narativ didNobody on the broadcast called a race. Decision Desk and the networks called them; Zev Shalev and Anne P. Mitchell covered that coverage from 8 p.m., with Lev Parnas, Ellie Leonard, Kait Justice and Olga Lautman in and out, the results board live in the studio and the network feeds cut in by key. That is the replay above. This is a public episode. If yo
- 2 weeks ago49 min
FiveStack: Five Days to Go—and the Fight Over the Result Has Begun
!Five days before the American midterms, the Justice Department is already seeking conditions that could delay certification of a Democratic Senate victory in Alaska. Trump is demanding the prosecution of the candidate who could win it. The vote is still ahead. The effort to challenge its consequences is underway.That is the thread through today’s FiveStack: who gets to exercise power, who gets to challenge it, and what happens when institutions or voters refuse to deliver the answer a leader wants.The countdown runs from a Pentagon firing to a Russian fuel shipment, from Bolsonaro’s arrival in Miami to Israel’s coalition arithmetic—and back to the American election.5️⃣ Hegseth removes a senior planner as another Iran decision approachesPete Hegseth fired Army Lieutenant General Brett Sylvia, who led strategy, plans and policy on the Joint Staff. The removal comes as Trump weighs renewed military action against Iran. Pentagon officials subsequently accused Sylvia of leaking classified information and referred the matter to the Justice Department. Those are allegations, not established findings. Sylvia’s office helps advise the chairman of the Joint Chiefs on strategy. Removing its leader at a moment of military uncertainty raises an immediate question about the quality and independence of the advice reaching the top. A government preparing another military decision needs officers able to explain the costs, the risks and the limits.The firing is confirmed. The claim that Sylvia was removed specifically for opposing an Iran operation requires further evidence. The accountability question remains: who will test the next plan before American service members are ordered to carry it out?4️⃣ Russian diesel meets resistance in New JerseyGovernor Mikie Sherrill is considering ways to stop a Russian diesel shipment from reaching the Port of New York and New Jersey. She called the Trump-Putin arrangement “corrupt and illegal.” The Financial Times reported the threatened intervention Thursday; separate reporting described American companies resisting the fuel arrangement. That puts a governor and commercial buyers in the path of a presidential deal. Sherrill is weighing action; a completed blockade has not been established. The next test is practical: whether opposition to the shipment becomes an obstacle at the port.Our concern is the political bargain behind the cargo. Treating Russian fuel as ordinary business while Moscow continues its war forces a question about what Washington is prepared to normalize—and what leverage it is prepared to surrender.3️⃣ Bolsonaro loses in Brazil, then reaches Miami with help from Trump’s circleAfter losing Brazil’s presidential election to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Flávio Bolsonaro arrived in Miami Wednesday. Reporting published Thursday described an escape operation involving decoys, a private aircraft and assistance from Trump’s inner circle. The Wall Street Journal account traced the journey through Argentina; EFE reported the New York Times’ findings on assistance from Trump and his aides. Brazil also ordered an investigation into alleged Rockbridge campaign links. The Vance-cofounded network denies involvement.These are separate developments: assistance leaving the country, and scrutiny of possible campaign assistance before the vote. Together they put Washington’s relationship with Bolsonaro at the center of the next dispute with Brasília. Losing an election ended his presidential bid. It did not end the international effort surrounding him.2️⃣ Netanyahu has 53 seats. A majority requires 61.With nearly all votes counted, Israeli media projected 53 seats for Netanyahu’s bloc, 48 for Gadi Eisenkot’s bloc and 19 for Arab-led parties. Neither main bloc has a majority. Netanyahu’s party has meanwhile amplified unproven claims that Arab-led parties stole the election. The arithmetic gives Eisenkot a possible route: 48 plus 19 makes 67. Turning those seats into parliamentary support requires agreement among parties with substantial differences. Our reading on FiveStack is that this offers a credible path to replacing Netanyahu. Coalition negotiations will determine whether that path holds.Arab-led parties emerge with substantial leverage over the next government. Their voters’ representation is central to the outcome, however aggressively Netanyahu attacks its legitimacy. The next contest is over who can assemble support—and whether the election’s verdict will be respected in that process.1️⃣ Alaska becomes a test of what happens after the voteThe Justice Department escalated its investigation Thursday into the controversy over two candidates named Dan Sullivan appearing on Alaska’s Senate ballot. Trump has called for Democratic candidate Mary Peltola to be prosecuted and removed from the race. Alaska’s Supreme Court had already allowe
- 2 weeks ago1h 0m
FiveStack LIVE: Vance's Shell Company Investigated, Bibi's "Stolen" Vote, Melania’s Ceasefire
5️⃣ Melania's ceasefire covers one townThe White House says the first lady got Russia and Ukraine to stop shooting at Oleshky, a town of about 2,000 in occupied Kherson, for 30 hours so far and six days of food and evacuation. Dean's account is that Pope Leo opened the channel to Putin three months ago and secured the truce from a hospital bed, and that the Vatican's thanks never named Melania Trump. The 21,640 Ukrainian children Russia has taken are still in Russia.4️⃣ Flávio Bolsonaro lands in Miami, and Brazil's court names RockbridgeFlávio Bolsonaro crossed into Argentina at 10:50 Tuesday night, 11 hours past the Supreme Court's passport deadline, and stepped off a Gulfstream in Miami on Wednesday morning on visas Trump approved. He lost Sunday's runoff by 4.4 million votes and faces two money-laundering cases at home. The same day, Justice Flávio Dino ordered the Federal Police to investigate whether a foreign donor network paid for his campaign and whether Meta and Twitter were tilted for him. The network is Rockbridge, founded in 2019 by JD Vance and Chris Buskirk, backed by Peter Thiel and Rebekah Mercer, with a Rockbridge Brazil LLC registered in Wyoming, where owners stay secret. Dean's reading: Brazil cannot touch a sitting vice president, and American law can.3️⃣ A grand jury says no to Todd BlancheA D.C. grand jury refused to indict Cassidy Hutchinson, the Jan. 6 witness, for telling the truth about that day. It follows a third case against James Comey, built on a 2016 leak, after the first two were thrown out. Dean's word for it is the revenge tour: file every charge you can before the midterms, through prosecutors a judge ruled this week are serving unlawfully.2️⃣ Patriots move, and the Gulf is told to braceThe Pentagon is moving a Patriot battery to the Middle East and the Gulf has been told to brace for "a short yet intensive military offensive" after Nov. 3. Trump, in Texas: "You'll see Iran in a couple of weeks." The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, with tankers waiting in it, under a president who says he owns it. Eisenkot told the army not to follow a caretaker prime minister into a war for his own survival.1️⃣ Eight seats short, Likud calls the vote stolenAt 10 p.m. the exit polls had Gadi Eisenkot's bloc ahead. By 2 a.m. Netanyahu was on the Likud stage saying the revised numbers made him the largest party and entitled him to govern. Today Likud posted that the election "was stolen by Arab parties that support terrorism" and demanded the police and the Shin Bet investigate. Arab citizens of Israel, 1.3 million of them, voted in record numbers. Lev Parnas told Narativ on election night that the White House was unhappy with the first polls and would try to make changes; what changed between 10 and 2, no one has said. Eisenkot has a path to a minority government with Arab support, and that is what the people voted for.Bonus: Dean's readTrump is quietly surrendering to Canada on tariffs. Lubbock was a mental health episode. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra told Canadian businessmen that Canada takes the blame if Trump loses. All at deanblundell.substack.com; prices rise Oct. 31. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.narativ.org/subscribe
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