Arthur Hayes: Why Bitcoin Isn’t in a Bull Run Yet

Arthur Hayes breaks down his macro framework for Bitcoin in this conversation with David Sencil at Bitcoin 2026 in Las Vegas.Key topics:- Why Bitcoin tracks global fiat liquidity- Why this isn’t a true bull run yet- The $145K level that matters- AI as a potential credit shock- How money printing and bank credit drive marketsHayes argues that Bitcoin’s price is ultimately tied to the expansion of fiat in the global system, not institutional narratives or short-term sentiment.Chapters:00:00 The Future of Crypto and Retail Involvement03:02 Oil Markets and Economic Implications05:52 Bitcoin's Performance and Economic Indicators09:11 AI's Impact on the Economy11:59 Liquidity and Monetary Policy15:06 The Role of Stablecoins in Global Finance18:00 The State of DeFi and Security Concerns20:55 Market Sentiment and Future PredictionsArthur Hayes IG - https://www.instagram.com/cryptohayes/LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/arthur-hayes-b493b42/Substack - https://cryptohayes.substack.com/Web: https://www.cryptohayes.comX - https://x.com/cryptohayesMaelstrom Fund LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/maelstromfundWeb - https://www.maelstrom.fundX - https://x.com/maelstromfund👉 Follow for macro-driven Bitcoin insights and real market analysis—no noise, just signal.