Bitcoin Follows This Pattern (Nobody's Talking About) | Sminston With | BFM248

Sminston With is an anonymous Bitcoin researcher, analyst, and PhD in materials engineering who spends his time analyzing Bitcoin through a data-driven lens.› https://x.com/sminston_with› https://www.youtube.com/@sminston_withPARTNERS🌳 Gain peace of mind with Onramp’s Multi-Institution Custody solution. Sign up with code BRAM to receive $150 in Bitcoin after your first deposit: https://onrampbitcoin.com?utm_campaign=2026_bfm-partnership&utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=podcast-description🟧 Buy Bitcoin in the EU 🇪🇺 via https://relai.me/bram - Sign up with code BRAM to get 10% off your fees🔐 The Bitcoin Way is your personal Bitcoin security team. Schedule a free, 30-minute consult: http://www.thebitcoinway.com/bram?utm_medium=podcast&utm_source=partner-bram-kansteinPRODUCTS I ENDORSE› Get 10% off a Bitaxe open-source Bitcoin home miner using code BRAM at https://shop.powermining.io/?ref=BRAM› Heat your home and Earn Bitcoin with Heatbit - Get 5% off with code BRAM https://heatbit.com/?ref=BRAM› Blockstream Jade Plus: The simplest and most secure hardware wallet on the planet - Get 10% off with code BRAM at https://store.blockstream.com› Stamp Seed: The safest way to backup your hardware wallet - Get 15% off with code BRAM at https://stampseed.com🔔 SUBSCRIBE TO GET NOTIFIED› https://youtube.com/@bramk⁠⁠› https://x.com/bramk🕑 TIMESTAMPS00:00 Exploring the Bitcoin Cycle and Business Cycle Correlation04:39 Understanding ISM and PMI Indicators08:18 Liquidity Cycles and Bitcoin's Risk Profile11:41 Visualizing Bitcoin Price and PMI Correlation14:15 Current Market Sentiment and Future Predictions20:24 Google Trends and Public Interest in Bitcoin24:10 Gold's Influence on Bitcoin Bull Runs29:37 Understanding Bitcoin's Adoption and Narrative32:07 The Impact of Global Events on Gold and Bitcoin36:12 Analyzing Bitcoin's Performance Against Gold39:35 The Transparency of Bitcoin Data41:33 Cost of Production in Bitcoin Mining47:37 Future Predictions and Retirement Planningℹ️ EPISODE SUMMARYBram Kanstein and Sminston With discuss why the “Bitcoin four-year cycle” starts to look more like a business cycle. They tie Bitcoin price bubbles to ISM PMI, liquidity, and the risk-on narrative sitting on top of a risk-off asset. They confront what would invalidate the PMI thesis, and why sentiment lags the data. They break down Google Trends, gold versus Bitcoin, and a possible rotation signal. They close with miner cost of production and an updated Bitcoin retirement guide.RELAI DISCLAIMERRelai sponsors this show/podcast and is authorized to provide crypto-asset services in Switzerland and across the European Union under the MiCA regulatory framework with its license issued by the French regulator, AMF (License No: A2025-006). The company is actively expanding its services to EU member states following the completion of passporting notifications.